2 models fit Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionHilton Grand Vacations Inc. Common Stock (HGV)
Fair value (2 models)
$22.82
ACCE price target
$36.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $22.29 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $35.89 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
57.3% above
-36.4% to fair value
ACCE score
41
out of 100
Analysts
36% buy
11 covering
P/E
21.1x
forward 11.4x
1-year return
-20.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Hilton Grand Vacations sells vacation ownership interests and runs resorts under the Hilton Grand Vacations and Diamond Resorts brands, financing many of the sales itself. The Hilton affiliation and a base of existing owners provide a repeat sales channel. The driver is tour flow and the conversion rate on sales. Revenue grew 6.2% with a 12.7% operating margin and 11.5% ROE, at 19.9x trailing and 11.4x forward earnings.