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PENN

PENN Entertainment Inc. Common Stock (PENN) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos · NASDAQ · United States
$14.50-6.21%
Market cap $2.1BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 52% below our fair value
Price
$14.50
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $30.24
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionPENN Entertainment Inc. Common Stock (PENN)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$16.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $14.50 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
40
out of 100
Analysts
65% buy
20 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 8.2x
1-year return
-19.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%

PENN Entertainment Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

PENN Entertainment runs regional casinos and racetracks under the Hollywood Casino, Ameristar and Barstool Sportsbook brands, with its digital arm sitting alongside the land-based footprint. The structural case rests on owning a scarce set of licensed gaming assets in mostly mature markets, where new supply is limited and the company keeps a real share of the cash its properties generate. The near-term story is the rebuild of that digital business and the hoped-for margin lift as the online operation scales and its cost base is pared back, though the Barstool drag and heavy leverage keep this a turnaround rather than a clean compounder. The numbers explain why it is on the list: the stock trades at about 8.2 times forward earnings against a 5.2% revenue growth rate and a 7.9% operating margin, a valuation that prices in a lot of skepticism. Against that sit a -37.6% return on equity and a score of 46 out of 100, so the question for a deeper look is whether operating margin can keep climbing while the balance sheet carries its debt load.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy leverage and cash burn
    Debt/Equity of 4.57 and free cash flow of -$139.5M leave little room for error if the regional casino business softens.
  • high
    Negative return on equity
    ROE of -37.6% and net margin of -12.7% mean the equity base is shrinking on an accounting basis despite the revenue growth of 5.2%.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest of 17.3% of float is high enough to amplify volatility in either direction, and the score fell 11 points over 90 days to 43/100.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts' mean price target of $23.68 sits 58.3% above the current price, and 13 of 20 analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • Revenue grew 5.2% over the past year, and the latest quarter beat earnings expectations by 25.7%.
  • The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.2x looks low, and the share count fell 4.9% last fiscal year.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow was negative $140M over the last twelve months, and the free cash flow yield is -7.1%.
  • Net margin of -12.7% and return on equity of -37.6% show the business is losing money on its capital.
  • Debt is 4.57 times equity, and online sports betting competition and promotions are a key risk on file.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where PENN's valuation models land
Price
$14.50
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $30.24
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish65% buy · 20 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 3● Hold 7● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-2.9%
1 month
-6.8%
3 months
-29.2%
6 months
-15.9%
YTD
-1.7%
1 year
-19.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$16.00first publication$15.48
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.58$29.83$14.65
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$29.83$30.13$15.65
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.13$26.88$15.90
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$26.88$23.44$16.45
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.44$23.96$18.00
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$23.96$31.59$17.82
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$31.59$28.61$16.95
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$28.61$32.31$17.07
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$32.31$28.22$17.20

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value40Quality26Momentum31Total40
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
8.2x
PEG
1.01
P/B
1.12x
EV / Revenue
1.7x
Book value/sh
$14.63
Enterprise value
$12.3B
Profitability
ROE
-37.6%
FCF yield
-6.73%
ROIC
-6.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
4.57
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.39

Price

-18.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about PENN

Answered from PENN Entertainment Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 24.8x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -2157%-38%high 26%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. Common Stock$14.50----37.6%2640
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. Common Stock$113.50$7846% above18.2x20.5%9570
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. Common Stock $37.08$2362% above21.1x11.5%3841
MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited American Depositary Shares$3.96--6.3x-2157.4%3549
SKIS-B.ST SkiStar AB (publ)kr 177.20--22.0x14.8%6661
CIRSA.MC Cirsa Enterprises€17.84€181% below24.8x25.9%6982
VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation Common Stock$112.93----14.7%4262

Sector report card

Where PENN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 5, 2026
    PENN Entertainment to Report Third Quarter Results and Host Conference Call and Webcast on November 5
  • Business Wire•Sep 24, 2026
    Kansas Entertainment Announces Groundbreaking Ceremony for New Hotel at Hollywood Casino at Kansas Speedway
  • Business Wire•Sep 10, 2026
    PENN Entertainment Announces Groundbreaking Ceremony for New Hollywood Casino Hotel Council Bluffs
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
35 filings
August 2026
Aug 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-08
View on SEC →
Aug 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
Aug 6
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
32 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR