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CIRSA.MC

Cirsa Enterprises (CIRSA.MC) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos · BME · Spain
€18.12+1.57%
Market cap €3.0BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
€18.12
Model fair valueConfidence: good
€17.59
Model range
€6.48 to €29.05
Fair value €17.59
Price €18.12
4 models fit Cirsa Enterprises and they disagree: 0 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver68
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionCirsa Enterprises (CIRSA.MC)
Fair value (4 models)
€17.59
ACCE price target
€19.30
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously €18.02 since 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: €18.12 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
3.0% above
-3.0% to fair value
ACCE score
82
out of 100
P/E
24.8x
forward 10.0x
1-year return
+22.4%
Dividend yield
2.53%

Cirsa Enterprises in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Cirsa Enterprises runs gaming operations across Spain, Italy, Portugal and Latin America, with its core business in slot machines, electronic roulette and betting terminals placed in bars, casinos and its own gaming halls. The moat sits in licensing: regulated gaming permits in tightly controlled markets are hard to win and rarely handed back, which keeps competition thin in each territory. Revenue grew 10.1% in the most recent figures, with an 80.8% gross margin and a 16.1% operating margin, and return on equity of 25.9% shows the capital base is being used well. The forward P/E of 10.0 sits well below the trailing 23.8, which implies the market expects earnings to rise sharply from here, so the first question for a deeper look is whether that step-up is credible or a function of one-off items. It also has no index membership at its market cap of about 2.9B EUR, which could mean the stock is under-owned by institutions, though that is an inference to test rather than a fact.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CIRSA.MC's valuation models land
Price
€18.12
Model fair value
€17.59
Model range
€6.48 to €29.05
Fair value €17.59
Price €18.12
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+3.1%
1 month
-6.8%
3 months
+39.4%
6 months
+33.6%
YTD
+22.4%
1 year
+22.4%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value€17.59€18.02€18.12
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication€18.12
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target€19.30first publication€17.58
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value€18.02first publication€17.58

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth76Value91Quality69Momentum90Total82
Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.8x
Forward P/E
10.0x
PEG
0.51
P/B
4.29x
EV / Revenue
2.1x
Book value/sh
€4.53
Enterprise value
€5.1B
Profitability
ROE
25.9%
FCF yield
14.56%
ROIC
2.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
3.10
Dividend yield
2.53%
Beta
no data

Price

+24.0% · 1Y

Ask anything about CIRSA.MC

Answered from Cirsa Enterprises fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0x24.8xhigh 35.3x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -38%26%high 109%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%2.5%high 6.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CIRSA.MC Cirsa Enterprises€18.12€183% above24.8x25.9%6982
VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation Common Stock$109.31----14.7%4262
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. Common Stock $35.89$2357% above21.1x11.5%3841
RRR Red Rock Resorts Inc. Class A Common Stock$49.61$3735% above17.5x108.9%9450
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation Common Stock$71.69$12643% below3.1x93.1%8352
MTN Vail Resorts Inc. Common Stock$146.57$9751% above35.3x26.0%5248
PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. Common Stock$14.50----37.6%2640

Sector report card

Where CIRSA.MC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…