Vail Resorts operates a portfolio of ski resorts (Vail, Whistler Blackcomb, Park City, Stowe and others) and sells season passes, lift tickets, lodging and ancillary dining and retail, with the Epic Pass as the core recurring product. Its moat rests on owning hard-to-replicate mountain real estate and a pass model that locks in revenue before the snow falls. Revenue growth has slowed to 2.5%, and the reported operating margin of -73.7% reflects a large impairment or one-time charge rather than the underlying resort economics, so the figure needs checking before anyone leans on it. At 21.9 times forward earnings against a trailing 37.4, the market is pricing a sharp earnings recovery, and a 26.0% return on equity shows the business has been profitable on a normal basis. The name is worth a deeper look if you believe pass-holder renewals and season-pass pricing can hold up through a softer consumer spend cycle.
Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.
See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
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| Date | Type | New | Previous | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST | Rating | Overvalued | first publication | $151 |
| 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST | Fair value | $96.94 | $99.97 | $151 |
| 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $99.97 | $136 | $147 |
| 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | ACCE price target | $157 | first publication | $146 |
| 9 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $136 | $113 | $145 |
| 6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $113 | $131 | $141 |
| 1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $131 | $129 | $141 |
| 27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $129 | $131 | $136 |
| 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $131 | $133 | $138 |
| 14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $133 | $151 | $140 |
Answered from Vail Resorts Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.
| Company | Price | Fair value | vs fair value | P/E | ROE | Quality | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTN Vail Resorts Inc. Common Stock | $146.57 | $97 | 51% above | 35.3x | 26.0% | 52 | 48 |
| BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation Common Stock | $72.27 | $126 | 43% below | 3.1x | 93.1% | 83 | 52 |
| RRR Red Rock Resorts Inc. Class A Common Stock | $50.43 | $37 | 38% above | 17.5x | 108.9% | 94 | 50 |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment Inc. Common Stock | $29.07 | - | - | - | -10.4% | 38 | 54 |
| VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation Common Stock | $112.93 | - | - | - | -14.7% | 42 | 62 |
| WYNN Wynn Resorts Limited Common stock | $75.13 | $62 | 21% above | 17.6x | -560.6% | 50 | 53 |
| MGM MGM Resorts International Common Stock | $29.50 | $34 | 14% below | 18.2x | 18.9% | 52 | 50 |
Where MTN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.