Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
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Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionCaesars Entertainment Inc. Common Stock (CZR)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$29.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $28.80 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
54
out of 100
Analysts
7% buy
15 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 51.0x
1-year return
+24.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Caesars Entertainment Inc. Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Caesars Entertainment runs a large portfolio of casino resorts, regional gaming properties and sports-betting and online operations, anchored by the Caesars Rewards loyalty program, which is the core of its competitive edge. The loyalty base gives it a repeat-visit engine that smaller regional operators struggle to match, and its gross margin of 49.7% and operating margin of 17.7% reflect that scale. Near-term growth is modest, with revenue up 3.0%, so the case rests on margin resilience and the ramp of digital wagering rather than top-line acceleration. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 51.0 on a negative return on equity of -10.4%, which means the market is pricing in a sharp earnings recovery that has yet to show up in reported results. The score of 58/100 and absence from major indices suggest it is a name worth a deeper look only if you have a view on that earnings recovery and the balance-sheet load that comes with it.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Heavy leverage
Debt/Equity of 7.52 leaves little balance sheet cushion. Equity is thin relative to debt, so any operating slowdown hits the equity holder hard.
moderate
Revenue growth slowing
Revenue grew 3.0% year over year and fell 1.6% quarter over quarter, against a 25.9% five-year revenue CAGR. Top-line momentum has faded sharply.
moderate
Elevated short interest
Short interest stands at 11.8% of ownership, a meaningful bearish bet against the stock. Shares could be volatile if sentiment shifts.
moderate
ACCE score slipped
The ACCE score fell 4 points over 90 days, from 60 to 56, with quality at 38 the weakest component. Net margin of -4.0% and ROE of -10.4% explain the weakness.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $520M, a solid cash engine behind a business with a large debt load.
The stock offers an 8.7% free cash flow yield, so the market prices in a lot of pessimism about the company's cash generation.
The share count fell 3.3% last fiscal year, so each remaining share claims a slightly larger slice of the business.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue grew just 3.0% year over year, far below the 25.9% average yearly growth over five years, so momentum has faded sharply.
The company lost money in the latest quarter, with an EPS surprise of -850.0% against expectations and a net margin of -4.0%.
Debt to equity of 7.52 leaves little cushion, and analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy are only 7% (1 of 15).
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Oct 27, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where CZR's valuation models land
Price
$28.80
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $18.24
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
+A plain reason under every score
+Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores