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ULH

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. Common Stock (ULH) fair value

Industrials · Trucking · NASDAQ · United States
$16.74-3.52%
Market cap $457MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$16.74
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $16.00
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionUniversal Logistics Holdings Inc. Common Stock (ULH)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$17.10
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $16.74 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
38
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
1 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 11.2x
1-year return
-14.1%
Dividend yield
2.53%

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Universal Logistics runs a truckload and intermodal trucking network across North America, with its Universal Truckload, Logistics and Intermodal units alongside a shuttle and drayage business serving rail ramps and ports. The case for a closer look is cyclical rather than structural: the freight recession has pushed revenue down 3.7% and squeezed operating margin to 1.0% against a 19.1% gross margin, which tells you how much cost sits between the two. Negative ROE of -15.1% reflects the losses from that downturn, so the earnings base a forward multiple of 11.2x depends on is the thing to test. The near-term catalyst is a turn in truckload pricing and volumes; if spot rates firm and the company's cost actions hold, operating leverage on a recovering top line could move margins quickly. At a roughly $442M market cap and a score of 40/100, the stock needs a clear view on freight-cycle timing before it earns a deeper look.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    Free cash flow was $-41.1M against a $470M market cap, and debt/equity sits at 1.80. The company is burning cash while carrying heavy leverage.
  • moderate
    Weak profitability and falling revenue
    Net margin is -6.0%, ROE is -15.1%, and revenue fell 3.7% year over year. The earnings jump of 213.5% starts from a depressed base.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest is 12.7% of float, a meaningful bet against the stock alongside a quality score of only 21/100.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Universal beat earnings expectations last quarter, reporting $0.16 per share against $0.13 expected.
  • Revenue has grown 2.3% a year on average over the past five years, a steadier record than the current decline suggests.
  • At $17.41, the stock trades at 11.2 times forward earnings and pays a 2.4% dividend yield.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 3.7% over the past year, reversing its longer-term growth trend.
  • The company lost money, with a net margin of -6.0% and free cash flow of -$41M over the last twelve months.
  • Debt equals 1.80 times shareholder equity, and the only covering analyst's mean target of $16.00 sits 8.1% below the share price.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ULH's valuation models land
Price
$16.74
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $16.00
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
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Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.6%
1 month
+3.0%
3 months
+6.1%
6 months
-29.3%
YTD
+10.2%
1 year
-14.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$17.10first publication$17.41
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.61$11.08$16.95
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.08$10.97$18.46
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.97$11.12$17.54
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.12$10.93$16.69
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.93$10.74$16.50
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.74$11.07$16.48
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.07$10.95$17.70
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.95$11.43$18.04
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.43$11.18$18.85

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth43Value55Quality21Momentum31Total38
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
11.2x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.77x
EV / Revenue
0.8x
Book value/sh
$21.28
Enterprise value
$1.3B
Profitability
ROE
-15.1%
FCF yield
-8.99%
ROIC
-5.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.80
Dividend yield
2.53%
Beta
0.74

Price

-5.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about ULH

Answered from Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 2919.0x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -19%-15%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%2.5%high 2.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ULH Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. Common Stock$16.74----15.1%2138
CVLG Covenant Logistics Group Inc. Class A Common Stock$29.19$2420% above2919.0x0.2%2945
HTLD Heartland Express Inc. Common Stock$10.18----1.7%3934
PAMT PAMT CORP Common Stock$10.64----18.9%1736
MRTN Marten Transport Ltd. Common Stock$11.78$1112% above78.5x1.7%3833
WERN Werner Enterprises Inc. Common Stock$28.79----3.9%3141
MTL.TO Mullen Group Ltd.C$28.76C$2135% above26.1x9.6%5173

Sector report card

Where ULH ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Jul 31, 2026
    Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results; Declares Dividend
  • PR Newswire•May 1, 2026
    Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results; Declares Dividend
20 filings of 34
October 2026
Oct 1
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-29
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 13
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-07-04
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 31
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-07-31
View on SEC →
17 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR