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SUNB
ACCE-researched

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. Common Stock (SUNB) fair value

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services · NYSE · United States
$78.52-0.44%
Market cap $32.2BNext earnings 2026-12-09Updated Oct 19, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 11% above our fair value
Price
$78.52
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$70.76
Model range
$35.91 to $111
Fair value $70.76
Price $78.52
5 models fit Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver73
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionSunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. Common Stock (SUNB)
Fair value (5 models)
$70.76
ACCE price target
$84.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $86.28 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $80.00 since 21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $78.52 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
11.0% above
-9.9% to fair value
ACCE score
68
out of 100
P/E
23.7x
forward 16.1x
Dividend yield
1.33%

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Sunbelt Rentals rents heavy equipment (aerial work platforms, power generation, pumps, and climate control units) to construction, industrial and events customers, and sells some of it used through its own channels. Its edge is scale in the fragmented North American equipment rental market: a dense branch network, a large fleet, and the logistics to move it, which smaller independents struggle to match on utilization and fleet rotation. The company is posting 11.2% revenue growth with a 22.4% operating margin and an 18.4% ROE, so the franchise is converting into profit. At 15.5x forward earnings against 22.8x trailing, the market is pricing in a meaningful step-up in earnings, which makes the next few quarters of margin delivery the key test. Worth a deeper look to see whether fleet investment and infrastructure-driven construction demand can keep utilization high enough to sustain that earnings growth.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Elevated leverage ratio
    Debt/Equity of 1.53 is materially above industrial peer norms (typically 0.8-1.0). High absolute debt load warrants monitoring in a rising-rate environment.
  • moderate
    Valuation premium to growth
    Forward P/E of 15.4 sits above the 5-year revenue CAGR of 4.9%. Current momentum (QoQ +13.1%, earnings +22.8%) appears cyclical; reversion risk if rental demand softens.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-07-31 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue growth of 11.2% year over year significantly outpaces the 4.9% five-year average, signaling accelerating demand.
  • Strong capital returns through 4.3% share buydowns and 5.6% free cash flow yield demonstrate shareholder-friendly capital allocation.
Why it could disappoint
  • Forward P/E of 15.4x trades below the 24.1x sector median, suggesting the market prices in slower growth ahead.
  • Debt to equity of 1.53 leaves limited room to absorb margin pressure if construction activity or equipment values decline.
  • ROIC of 7.2% lags the 5.2% risk-free rate, meaning the company barely beats Treasury returns on incremental capital.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SUNB's valuation models land
Price
$78.52
Model fair value
$70.76
Model range
$35.91 to $111
Fair value $70.76
Price $78.52
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.3%
1 month
+6.4%
3 months
+3.8%
6 months
+2.1%
YTD
no data
1 year
no data

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$76.02
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$70.76$86.28$76.02
18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$84.00$80.00$76.02
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$86.28$90.73$77.33
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$90.73$111$75.17
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$111$110$77.10
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$110$112$73.78
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$112$116$72.74
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$116$112$75.67
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$80.00first publication$73.59

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value74Quality71Momentum60Total68
Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.7x
Forward P/E
16.1x
PEG
1.04
P/B
4.16x
EV / Revenue
3.7x
Book value/sh
$18.17
Enterprise value
$42.4B
Profitability
ROE
18.4%
FCF yield
10.67%
ROIC
6.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.37
Dividend yield
1.33%
Beta
1.67

Price

+6.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about SUNB

Answered from Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 7.1x23.7xhigh 405.7x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low 1%18%high 29%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%1.3%high 6.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. Common Stock$78.52$7111% above23.7x18.4%7168
AER AerCap Holdings N.V. Ordinary Shares$147.68$26043% below7.1x18.7%8167
URI United Rentals Inc. Common Stock$1111.02$73551% above25.7x28.9%7569
UHAL U-Haul Holding Company Common Stock$56.80$4332% above405.7x0.8%4640
R Ryder System Inc. Common Stock$265.53$33421% below20.6x16.7%4762
8439.T Tokyo Century Corporation¥2535.00--10.0x10.9%3069
AYV.PA Ayvens€8.73--7.4x9.1%3839

Sector report card

Where SUNB ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 9, 2026
    Sunbelt Rentals to Attend the Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference on September 16, 2026
  • Business Wire•Sep 9, 2026
    Sunbelt Rentals Reports Record First Quarter Results and Raises Full-Year Fiscal 2027 Guidance
  • PR Newswire•Aug 26, 2026
    Bloomberg 500 (B500) Index Adds Ten Securities Following September Reconstitution
8 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 13
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-11
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 22
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-18
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR