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WMK

Weis Markets Inc. Common Stock (WMK) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · NYSE · United States
$78.98-1.63%
Market cap $2.0BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 17% above our fair value
Price
$78.98
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$67.23
Model range
$35.24 to $100
Fair value $67.23
Price $78.98
4 models fit Weis Markets Inc. Common Stock and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Silver73
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionWeis Markets Inc. Common Stock (WMK)
Fair value (4 models)
$67.23
ACCE price target
$70.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $86.27 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $78.98 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
17.5% above
-14.9% to fair value
ACCE score
58
out of 100
P/E
20.1x
1-year return
+15.2%
Dividend yield
1.69%

Weis Markets Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Weis Markets operates a chain of supermarkets across Pennsylvania, Maryland, New York, New Jersey, Virginia and West Virginia, selling groceries, fresh produce, meat and pharmacy items under the Weis and Weis Markets banners. Its moat is regional density: a tight cluster of stores in a handful of states lets it run its own distribution and keep local price and service advantages that national chains struggle to match. Revenue is growing at 4.6%, but the business earns a thin 2.3% operating margin and a 7.3% return on equity, so the story depends on whether that top-line momentum can be converted into better profitability. The forward P/E of 8.7 sits well below the trailing 19.2, which implies the market expects earnings to recover or reset, and that gap is the first thing to verify. The score of 53 out of 100 and the absence of index membership mean it is a low-profile, sub-scale holding, so a deeper look should focus on margin trajectory and the cash flow behind the earnings forecast.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Insider selling heavy
    Last 10 disclosed insider transactions show $264.91M in sales against $0.07M in buys. Insiders hold 34.3% of shares, so this is a large seller base.
  • moderate
    Earnings declining despite revenue growth
    Revenue grew 4.6% YoY, but earnings fell 3.7%. Operating margin of 2.3% and net margin of 2.0% leave little room for further compression.
  • moderate
    Score down sharply over 90 days
    The ACCE score fell from 62 to 53 over 90 days, with growth at 28 and quality at 47 as the weakest components.
  • moderate
    Free cash flow nearly nil
    Free cash flow is $5M against a $1.9B market cap, so the cash generated gives little cushion for a downturn or reinvestment.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 4.6% year over year, ahead of its 3.8% average annual pace over five years.
  • Debt is light at 0.13 times equity, and the share count fell 4.5% last fiscal year, boosting per-share value.
  • The stock trades at 8.7 times forward earnings against a sector median of 18.7 times, a steep discount.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow was just $5M over twelve months, a 0.3% yield that barely covers a 1.8% dividend.
  • Return on equity of 7.3% and return on invested capital of 5.0% are modest returns on the capital the business uses.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WMK's valuation models land
Price
$78.98
Model fair value
$67.23
Model range
$35.24 to $100
Fair value $67.23
Price $78.98
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

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Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+5.0%
1 month
+9.0%
3 months
+7.7%
6 months
+14.9%
YTD
+23.2%
1 year
+15.2%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$78.98
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$67.23$86.27$78.98
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$86.27$82.83$75.37
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$70.00first publication$72.99
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$82.83$85.02$72.60
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$85.02$83.38$72.86
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$83.38$85.56$72.02
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$85.56$87.25$72.26
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$87.25$88.44$70.87
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$88.44first publication$71.20

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value75Quality47Momentum83Total58
Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.1x
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
1.29x
EV / Revenue
0.3x
Book value/sh
$56.02
Enterprise value
$1.7B
Profitability
ROE
7.3%
FCF yield
0.25%
ROIC
5.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.13
Dividend yield
1.69%
Beta
0.39

Price

+17.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about WMK

Answered from Weis Markets Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 20% of peers
low 0.0x20.1xhigh 22.9x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low -38%7%high 18%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%1.7%high 3.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WMK Weis Markets Inc. Common Stock$78.98$6717% above20.1x7.3%4758
NWC.TO The North West Company Inc.C$56.13C$4623% above19.5x17.9%6163
IMKTA Ingles Markets Incorporated Class A Common Stock$87.88$11322% below16.2x6.3%3948
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock$13.30----38.1%2548
OCDO.L Ocado Group plc£3.26£39% above--15.0%3562
3038.T Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.¥3013.00--22.9x16.6%5344
SON.LS Sonae, SGPS, S.A.€2.14€321% below11.2x8.7%4869

Sector report card

Where WMK ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Aug 4, 2026
    WEIS MARKETS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS
  • PR Newswire•Jul 16, 2026
    WEIS MARKETS ANNOUNCES QUARTERLY DIVIDEND
  • PR Newswire•Jun 4, 2026
    Instacart and Weis Markets Launch AI-Powered Caper Carts to Transform In-Store Shopping
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
16 filings of 34
August 2026
Aug 6
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-27
View on SEC →
Aug 4
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
June 2026
Jun 4
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-06-01
View on SEC →
13 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR