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IMKTA

Ingles Markets Incorporated Class A Common Stock (IMKTA) fair value

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · NASDAQ · United States
$87.88-0.98%
Market cap $1.7BNext earnings 2026-11-25Updated Oct 16, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 22% below our fair value
Price
$87.88
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$113
Model range
$39.45 to $187
Fair value $113
Price $87.88
4 models fit Ingles Markets Incorporated Class A Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Bronze58
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionIngles Markets Incorporated Class A Common Stock (IMKTA)
Fair value (4 models)
$113
ACCE price target
$90.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $87.67 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $87.88 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
22.3% below
+28.6% to fair value
ACCE score
48
out of 100
P/E
16.2x
forward 8.6x
1-year return
+21.0%
Dividend yield
0.78%

Ingles Markets Incorporated Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Ingles Markets operates roughly 200 supermarkets across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic under the Ingles banner, alongside Ingles' in-store pharmacies, fuel centers and a meaningful Ingles-branded private label. Its moat is local density: clustering stores in tight regional footprints lets it run its own distribution network and keeps logistics costs below what a sparser national chain pays. The near-term driver is the company's ongoing store remodel and fuel-center program, which management has leaned on to defend share against Walmart and Kroger in its markets. The stock trades at 15.9x trailing earnings but 8.6x forward, a gap that signals the market expects earnings to recover from a thin 2.1% operating margin, but that expectation needs testing. Revenue growth of 1.6% and a 6.3% ROE leave little room for error, so the case rests on margin repair, which a deeper look needs to confirm before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    ACCE score collapse
    Score fell 17 points in 90 days (69 to 52). Quality subscore at 39 signals deterioration in operational or financial metrics.
  • high
    Earnings decline with margin squeeze
    Earnings down 1.4% YoY despite 1.6% revenue growth. Operating margin of 2.1% leaves little buffer; net margin 1.9% indicates thin profitability.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue contraction
    QoQ revenue down 5.1%. In a low-margin grocery business, seasonal weakness or demand loss warrants monitoring.
  • moderate
    Insider selling pressure
    Insiders sold $3.06M vs bought $0.04M in last 10 disclosures. 75x ratio of sales to buys suggests limited confidence.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 12, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow yield of 8.3% substantially exceeds the risk-free rate of 5.2%, offering attractive cash returns.
  • Conservative balance sheet with 0.31 debt to equity and flat share count preserves shareholder value.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on invested capital of 3.2% trails the 5.2% risk-free rate, destroying shareholder value.
  • Forward P/E of 18.2x requires perpetual cash flow growth of 6.6%, well above the 1.6% recent revenue growth.
  • Net margin of 1.9% leaves minimal room for error in a price-competitive grocery market.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 25, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where IMKTA's valuation models land
Price
$87.88
Model fair value
$113
Model range
$39.45 to $187
Fair value $113
Price $87.88
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.7%
1 month
+5.8%
3 months
+2.4%
6 months
-3.1%
YTD
+28.2%
1 year
+21.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$113$87.67$86.78
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$90.00first publication$85.66
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$87.67$127$85.66
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$127$126$84.82
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$126$128$83.12
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$128$126$83.12
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$126$129$80.96
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$129$127$83.07
3 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$127$130$80.59
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$130$88.03$82.12

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth19Value69Quality39Momentum63Total48
Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.2x
Forward P/E
8.6x
PEG
0.85
P/B
0.95x
EV / Revenue
0.3x
Book value/sh
$88.70
Enterprise value
$1.7B
Profitability
ROE
6.3%
FCF yield
2.35%
ROIC
3.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.34
Dividend yield
0.78%
Beta
0.57

Price

+21.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about IMKTA

Answered from Ingles Markets Incorporated Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 40% of peers
low 0.0x16.2xhigh 20.1x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -38%6%high 22%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.8%high 3.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
IMKTA Ingles Markets Incorporated Class A Common Stock$87.88$11322% below16.2x6.3%3948
NWC.TO The North West Company Inc.C$56.61C$4624% above19.5x17.9%6163
WMK Weis Markets Inc. Common Stock$80.29$867% below20.1x7.3%4758
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock$13.90----38.1%2548
OCDO.L Ocado Group plc£3.29£310% above--15.0%3562
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. Common Stock$32.37$2814% above15.3x21.6%5253
VLGEA Village Super Market Inc. Class A Common Stock$45.62$5720% below12.2x10.3%4759

Sector report card

Where IMKTA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 28, 2026
    Ingles Markets, Incorporated Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
  • Business Wire•Aug 6, 2026
    Ingles Markets, Incorporated Reports Results for Third Quarter and First Nine Months of Fiscal 2026
  • Business Wire•Jun 29, 2026
    Ingles Markets, Incorporated Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
15 filings of 35
September 2026
Sep 14
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-08
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 6
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-27
View on SEC →
Aug 6
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
12 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR