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WINA

Winmark Corporation Common Stock (WINA) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · NASDAQ · United States
$279.71-2.19%
Market cap $1.0BNext earnings 2026-10-14Updated Oct 17, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 80% above our fair value
Price
$279.71
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$155
Model range
$124 to $201
Fair value $155
Price $280
3 models fit Winmark Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze43
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionWinmark Corporation Common Stock (WINA)
Fair value (3 models)
$155
ACCE price target
$359
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $161 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $313 since 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $280 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
80.2% above
-44.5% to fair value
ACCE score
49
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
1 covering
P/E
25.0x
forward 23.1x
1-year return
-34.7%
Dividend yield
1.43%

Winmark Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Winmark franchises and operates resale retail concepts, chiefly Plato's Closet, Play It Again Sports and Once Upon a Child, and earns most of its income from royalties and franchise fees rather than store sales, which explains the 96.5% gross margin and 56.6% operating margin. The model is asset-light: franchisees carry the inventory and the lease risk, while Winmark collects a percentage of their sales and a steady stream of fees. Reported revenue growth of 23.2% is the figure to check, since a jump that size in a mature franchisor usually reflects a lumpy fee or sales-driven swing rather than a clean acceleration in royalties. The forward P/E of 14.9 against a trailing 28.1 implies earnings are expected to rise sharply, which is worth testing against franchisee sales trends and new-store openings before anyone relies on it. The composite score of 39/100 and the absence of any index membership suggest the market and quantitative screens have not yet been persuaded, so the case rests on whether the margin structure and the forward earnings step-up hold up under closer review.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WINA's valuation models land
Price
$279.71
Model fair value
$155
Model range
$124 to $201
Fair value $155
Price $280
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 1 covering analyst
● Strong buy 0● Buy 1● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-11.2%
1 month
-4.0%
3 months
-15.9%
6 months
-29.9%
YTD
-30.9%
1 year
-34.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$359$313$315
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$155$161$314
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$161$155$298
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$313first publication$292
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$155$159$292
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$159$161$298
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$161$163$285
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$163$168$308
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$168$164$312
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$164$166$318

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value53Quality62Momentum17Total49
Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.0x
Forward P/E
23.1x
PEG
3.98
P/B
58.68x
EV / Revenue
12.5x
Book value/sh
$-10.51
Enterprise value
$1.1B
Profitability
ROE
0.0%
FCF yield
4.35%
ROIC
no data
Health and risk
Debt / equity
-1.21
Dividend yield
1.43%
Beta
0.55

Price

-32.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about WINA

Answered from Winmark Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 40% of peers
low 9.1x25.0xhigh 62.5x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -27%0%high 133%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%1.4%high 3.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WINA Winmark Corporation Common Stock$279.71$15580% above25.0x0.0%6249
PET.TO Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.C$19.82C$3033% below13.8x133.3%6460
NEWA-B.ST New Wave Group AB (publ)kr 99.40kr 8123% above16.5x11.8%6362
SVV Savers Value Village Inc. Common Stock$9.85$593% above62.5x5.7%4251
FAST.AS Fastned B.V.€32.85----27.0%3449
EYE National Vision Holdings Inc. Common Stock$18.87$9103% above30.1x5.8%5650
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.) Common Stock$17.62$2529% below9.1x23.5%6074

Sector report card

Where WINA ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 14, 2026
    Winmark Corporation Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend and Special Dividend
  • Business Wire•Oct 14, 2026
    Winmark Corporation Announces Third Quarter Results
  • Business Wire•Jul 15, 2026
    Winmark Corporation Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 14
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-09-26
View on SEC →
Oct 14
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
July 2026
Jul 15
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-27
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR