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SVV

Savers Value Village Inc. Common Stock (SVV) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · NYSE · United States
$9.37-4.87%
Market cap $1.4BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 84% above our fair value
Price
$9.37
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$5.11
Model range
$2.98 to $9.04
Fair value $5.11
Price $9.37
3 models fit Savers Value Village Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver63
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionSavers Value Village Inc. Common Stock (SVV)
Fair value (3 models)
$5.11
ACCE price target
$9.50
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $4.97 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $9.37 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
83.5% above
-45.5% to fair value
ACCE score
51
out of 100
Analysts
67% buy
12 covering
P/E
62.5x
forward 15.5x
1-year return
-29.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Savers Value Village Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Savers Value Village runs a network of thrift stores selling secondhand apparel, housewares and other goods, and it supplies much of its inventory by buying donated and bulk-purchased used clothing that it sorts and resells, with a meaningful share exported or sold to wholesale channels. The structural case rests on that sourcing model: donations are a low-cost input that competitors without scale or a sorting operation struggle to replicate, which helps explain the 55.7% gross margin. Revenue growth of 7.4% is the number to pressure-test against store openings and same-store sales in the next filings. The stock trades at 67.5 times trailing earnings but 30.0 times forward, so the market is pricing in a sharp earnings recovery, and a 10.0% operating margin and 5.7% ROE show that delivery has not yet caught up. With a 48/100 score and no index membership, the name is a candidate for a deeper look at margin trajectory and whether the forward multiple is justified, not a conclusion in either direction.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Short interest very elevated
    Short interest is 29.6% of ownership, a heavy bearish bet on the stock. Combined with a score that slipped from 54 to 51, the market is clearly skeptical.
  • moderate
    Thin net margin and leverage
    Net margin is only 1.4% with debt/equity at 3.17. Earnings growth of 16.7% rests on a narrow profit base, so a small revenue dip could erase it.
  • moderate
    Insider selling, no buying
    Recent disclosures show $0.91M in insider sales and no purchases. The insider stake is just 0.3%, so this is a modest signal, but it points one way.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 7.4% year over year, and the five-year average growth rate is 15.0% per year.
  • Analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy make up 67% (8 of 12), and their mean price target sits 42.4% above today's price.
  • The company beat earnings expectations, reporting $0.15 per share against $0.11 expected, a 36.4% surprise.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is only 1.4%, so very little of each sales dollar reaches shareholders as profit.
  • Debt to equity of 3.17 means the balance sheet carries heavy borrowing relative to shareholder equity.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SVV's valuation models land
Price
$9.37
Model fair value
$5.11
Model range
$2.98 to $9.04
Fair value $5.11
Price $9.37
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish67% buy · 12 covering analysts
● Strong buy 8● Buy 0● Hold 4● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-7.0%
1 month
+4.0%
3 months
+2.9%
6 months
+7.5%
YTD
+0.3%
1 year
-29.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$10.07
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$5.11$4.97$10.07
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$4.97$6.23$9.27
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$9.50first publication$9.23
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$6.23$5.79$9.28
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.79$5.90$9.04
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.90$6.01$9.86
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$6.01$6.11$9.75
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$6.11$6.04$10.45
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$6.04$6.16$10.27

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth56Value50Quality42Momentum54Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
62.5x
Forward P/E
15.5x
PEG
3.93
P/B
3.11x
EV / Revenue
1.6x
Book value/sh
$2.89
Enterprise value
$2.7B
Profitability
ROE
5.7%
FCF yield
3.22%
ROIC
1.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
3.17
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.25

Price

-30.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about SVV

Answered from Savers Value Village Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 9.1x62.5xhigh 62.5x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -27%6%high 24%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SVV Savers Value Village Inc. Common Stock$9.37$584% above62.5x5.7%4251
FAST.AS Fastned B.V.€32.85----27.0%3449
EYE National Vision Holdings Inc. Common Stock$18.87$9103% above30.1x5.8%5650
NEWA-B.ST New Wave Group AB (publ)kr 99.40kr 8123% above16.5x11.8%6362
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.) Common Stock$17.62$2529% below9.1x23.5%6074
ARHS Arhaus Inc. Class A Common Stock$11.53$1021% above23.4x17.3%5262
CURY.L Currys plc£1.48£348% below9.7x7.1%4067

Sector report card

Where SVV ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 8, 2026
    Savers Value Village Highlights the Impact of Reuse in Fifth Annual Impact & Sustainability Report
  • Business Wire•Aug 13, 2026
    Savers Value Village, Inc. Announces Closing of Upsized Secondary Public Offering of Common Stock and Concurrent Share Repurchase
  • Business Wire•Aug 12, 2026
    Savers Value Village, Inc. Announces Pricing of Upsized Secondary Public Offering of Common Stock and Concurrent Share Repurchase
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 18
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-16
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-13
View on SEC →
Aug 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-13
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR