3 models fit Arhaus Inc. Class A Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
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Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionArhaus Inc. Class A Common Stock (ARHS)
Fair value (3 models)
$8.21
ACCE price target
$10.20
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST; previously $9.49 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 16:06 CEST.
Price used: $11.70 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
42.4% above
-29.8% to fair value
ACCE score
62
out of 100
Analysts
47% buy
15 covering
P/E
23.1x
forward 15.2x
1-year return
+12.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%
Arhaus Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions
Plain answers, details below
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Overview
ACCE thesis
Arhaus designs and sells premium home furnishings, including sofas, dining tables, lighting and outdoor furniture, through its own showrooms and online, with a vertically integrated model that controls sourcing and design. The brand's edge is its direct-to-consumer, own-showroom footprint, which keeps gross margin at 38.0% in a category where many competitors rely on wholesale or discount channels. Revenue is growing 7.4%, a modest pace in a housing market that has been slow to turn, so the thesis rests on margin recovery and operating leverage rather than on top-line acceleration. At 15.2x forward earnings against 20.3x trailing, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings rebound, with a 17.3% ROE and a 7.9% operating margin suggesting room to expand if volumes recover. The stock is outside major indices, which may keep coverage thin, and the score of 62/100 says the case is credible but not yet compelling on fundamentals alone, so the next step is to check whether showroom productivity and housing turnover support the forward earnings estimates.
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
high
Heavy short interest
Short interest stands at 11.3% of float, which is a meaningful bet against the shares and can amplify volatility around earnings or guidance.
moderate
Leverage elevated
Debt/Equity of 1.39 against free cash flow of $59M leaves less room to absorb a demand slowdown in discretionary furniture.
moderate
Sequential revenue decline
Quarter-on-quarter growth is -13.9%, a sharp sequential drop that sits awkwardly beside the 7.4% year-over-year gain and deserves a closer look at the trend.
moderate
Price above valuation anchors
The shares trade 42.4% above the model fair value of $8.21 and 14.7% above the ACCE price target of $10.20, so less margin of safety is priced in.
AI research notes
AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
Free cash flow of $59M over the last twelve months gives the stock a 4.2% cash yield at today's price.
Return on equity of 17.3% shows the company turns shareholder money into profit at a healthy rate.
Earnings per share beat expectations by 75.0% in the latest quarter, with 0.28 reported against 0.16 expected.
Why it could disappoint
Revenue grew only 7.4% over the past year, far below the 22.1% average annual growth of the last five years.
The stock trades 42.4% above the model fair value of $8.21, and all three valuation models sit below the price.
Debt equals 1.39 times shareholder equity, and return on invested capital of 5.5% is thin for a business carrying that load.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.
Next results
Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle
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Valuation
INVESTOR
Where ARHS's valuation models land
Price
$11.70
Model fair value
$8.21
Model range
$4.74 to $10.28
Fair value $8.21
Price $11.70
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality
INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE
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