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VAL

Valaris Limited Common Shares (VAL) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling · NYSE · United States
$97.33+5.58%
Market cap $6.4BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 42% above our fair value
Price
$97.33
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$68.44
Model range
$43.69 to $119
Fair value $68.44
Price $97.33
3 models fit Valaris Limited Common Shares and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze58
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionValaris Limited Common Shares (VAL)
Fair value (3 models)
$68.44
ACCE price target
$78.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $64.87 since 1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $97.33 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
42.2% above
-29.7% to fair value
ACCE score
57
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
9 covering
P/E
6.9x
forward 29.1x
1-year return
+72.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Valaris Limited Common Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Valaris is an offshore contract driller, operating drillships, semi-submersible rigs and jackups that it leases to oil and gas majors and national oil companies on multi-year day-rate contracts. The structural case rests on that fleet: offshore floaters are scarce after years of underinvestment, and new-build costs have pushed day rates for high-specification rigs upward. The near-term catalyst is the conversion of the contracted backlog into cash as older contracts roll onto higher day rates, which is what the market will need to see before the forward multiple compresses. The numbers are split: trailing P/E of 6.3 and ROE of 33.6% sit against revenue down 12.4% and an operating margin of 9.8%, and the forward P/E of 29.1 implies earnings are expected to fall sharply before any recovery. That gap between a cheap trailing multiple and a demanding forward one is the first thing to resolve in the deeper work, along with backlog conversion and the fleet's utilisation rate.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Revenue and earnings contracting
    Revenue fell 12.4% year over year and earnings fell 55.3%, with a 13.4% quarter-on-quarter drop. The score also fell 20 points in 90 days, from 73 to 53.
  • moderate
    Heavy short interest
    Short interest stands at 10.7% of shares outstanding, which suggests some investors are betting on further weakness.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 16, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Trailing earnings look very cheap at 6.5x, and the company generated $203M of free cash flow over the last twelve months.
  • Return on equity of 33.6% and return on invested capital of 18.5% show the business earning strong returns on the capital it uses.
  • The share count fell 2.7% last year, and the latest quarter beat expected earnings per share by 56.5%.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 12.4% year over year, well below its five-year average growth of 10.7% per year.
  • At 29.1x forward earnings the stock trades far above the sector median of 16.0x, so the cheap trailing multiple is misleading.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VAL's valuation models land
Price
$97.33
Model fair value
$68.44
Model range
$43.69 to $119
Fair value $68.44
Price $97.33
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 9 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 8● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+14.1%
1 month
+17.9%
3 months
+22.4%
6 months
+6.7%
YTD
+93.1%
1 year
+72.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$88.35
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$68.17$64.87$83.65
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$78.00first publication$83.96
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$64.87$66.21$78.45
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$66.21$68.13$81.79
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$68.13$70.72$84.05
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$70.72$66.78$88.23
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$66.78$67.88$83.73
9 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$67.88$66.20$86.74
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$66.20$69.56$86.74

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value69Quality76Momentum77Total57
Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.9x
Forward P/E
29.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.78x
EV / Revenue
3.0x
Book value/sh
$46.48
Enterprise value
$6.4B
Profitability
ROE
33.6%
FCF yield
3.17%
ROIC
18.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.38
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.05

Price

+71.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about VAL

Answered from Valaris Limited Common Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 40% of peers
low 0.0x6.9xhigh 1745.0x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -25%34%high 34%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VAL Valaris Limited Common Shares$97.33$6842% above6.9x33.6%7657
RIG Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) Common Stock$6.41----18.7%5249
NE Noble Corporation plc A Ordinary Shares$47.70$3536% above46.8x3.3%5146
PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. Common Stock$11.97$1016% above--2.8%3147
HP Helmerich & Payne Inc. Common Stock$38.95$3128% above--4.6%3544
SDRL Seadrill Limited Common Shares$52.35$24119% above1745.0x0.0%5568
BORR Borr Drilling Limited Common Shares$4.40$327% above--24.7%2942

Sector report card

Where VAL ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 15, 2026
    Transocean Ltd. Announces Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Redemption of Deepwater Aquila Notes
  • Business Wire•Oct 14, 2026
    Valaris Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release
  • Business Wire•Oct 7, 2026
    Valaris Announces Contract Awards and Fleet Status Updates
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 14
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-14
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 30
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 6
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR