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RIG

Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) Common Stock (RIG) fair value

Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling · NYSE · United States
$6.41+5.43%
Market cap $6.8BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 151% above our fair value
Price
$6.41
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$2.56
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionTransocean Ltd (Switzerland) Common Stock (RIG)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$5.10
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $6.41 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
49
out of 100
Analysts
46% buy
13 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 15.2x
1-year return
+64.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Transocean operates one of the largest offshore drilling fleets in the world, with ultra-deepwater and harsh-environment drillships and semisubmersibles leased to oil majors and national oil companies on multi-year day-rate contracts. Its moat rests on the scarcity of that equipment: building a new ultra-deepwater rig takes years and costs well over a billion dollars, so the existing fleet commands premium rates when offshore demand firms. The near-term catalyst is contract backlog conversion, since rising day rates on newly signed work would feed through to cash flow faster than the revenue line suggests. Revenue fell 2.2% and ROE is negative at -18.7%, so the company is still absorbing losses and the balance sheet, not the fleet, is the first thing to test. A 15.2x forward P/E is the only earnings multiple on offer, given trailing earnings are depressed, which makes the forward estimates the real question. The 43/100 score and absence from any index suggest the market is not yet paying for a recovery, so this merits a deeper look at contract coverage and debt maturities before any view on timing.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Short interest elevated
    Short interest stands at 29.4% of float, a heavy bet against the shares that could amplify volatility in either direction.
  • high
    Score fell sharply
    The ACCE score dropped 19 points in 90 days, from 64 to 45, with the quality (52) and growth (7) components weak.
  • moderate
    Net loss and negative ROE
    Net margin is -40.2% and ROE is -18.7%, so the operating margin of 17.4% is not reaching shareholders.
  • moderate
    Shares trade above ACCE target
    The price of $6.41 sits 25.7% above the ACCE price target of $5.10.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $626M, showing the business still generates real cash despite losses.
  • Latest quarterly earnings beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.03 against 0.01 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin of -40.2% means the company loses roughly forty cents on every dollar of revenue.
  • Revenue fell 2.2% year over year, and the share count grew 3.8% in the last fiscal year, diluting existing holders.
  • The shares trade at a forward P/E of 20.1x against a sector median of 16.4x, and the price is 25.7% above the ACCE price target of $5.10.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where RIG's valuation models land
Price
$6.41
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$2.56
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed46% buy · 13 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 1● Hold 5● Sell 2● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
1 buy · 0 sells
Since Sep 14, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
17 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+14.1%
1 month
+17.2%
3 months
+19.8%
6 months
+4.9%
YTD
+55.2%
1 year
+64.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$5.10first publication$5.54
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.83$2.72$5.51
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.72$2.75$5.17
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.75$3.08$5.38
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.08$3.13$5.47
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.13$3.20$5.45
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.20$3.16$5.67
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.16$3.27$6.02
3 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.27$3.14$5.92
31 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.14$4.22$5.74

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value59Quality52Momentum77Total49
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
15.2x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.73x
EV / Revenue
2.6x
Book value/sh
$7.49
Enterprise value
$10.7B
Profitability
ROE
-18.7%
FCF yield
9.22%
ROIC
-17.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.70
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.41

Price

+64.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about RIG

Answered from Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 1745.0x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -25%-19%high 34%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 4.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
RIG Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) Common Stock$6.41----18.7%5249
NE Noble Corporation plc A Ordinary Shares$47.70$3536% above46.8x3.3%5146
VAL Valaris Limited Common Shares$97.33$6842% above6.9x33.6%7657
PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. Common Stock$11.97$1016% above--2.8%3147
HP Helmerich & Payne Inc. Common Stock$38.95$3128% above--4.6%3544
SDRL Seadrill Limited Common Shares$52.35$24119% above1745.0x0.0%5568
BORR Borr Drilling Limited Common Shares$4.40$327% above--24.7%2942

Sector report card

Where RIG ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 15, 2026
    Transocean Ltd. Announces Amended and Restated Credit Agreement and Redemption of Deepwater Aquila Notes
  • Business Wire•Oct 14, 2026
    Valaris Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 12, 2026
    Transocean Ltd. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
Oct 15
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 14
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-14
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR