AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
TLF

Tandy Leather Factory Inc. Common Stock (TLF) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · NASDAQ · United States
$2.28-1.51%
Market cap $19MNext earnings 2026-11-09Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 48% below our fair value
Price
$2.28
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$4.41
Model range
$0.84 to $7.98
Fair value $4.41
Price $2.28
2 models fit Tandy Leather Factory Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Bronze43
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionTandy Leather Factory Inc. Common Stock (TLF)
Fair value (2 models)
$4.41
ACCE price target
$2.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $3.99 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $2.28 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
48.3% below
+93.6% to fair value
ACCE score
38
out of 100
1-year return
-26.0%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Tandy Leather Factory Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Tandy Leather Factory sells leather, tools, and kits for hand-crafting, mainly through its own retail stores and an e-commerce site, with a wholesale arm supplying other retailers. Its edge is the niche itself: a 59.5% gross margin is high for specialty retail, and it reflects a loyal hobbyist customer and a catalog that lets the company sell its own branded supplies. The problem is that the business has barely grown, with revenue up only 1.5%, and operating margin of 3.0% leaves little room for a turnaround to show up in earnings. Return on equity is negative at -3.2%, and the company's market capitalisation of about $19 million makes it a micro-cap with thin liquidity and no index membership, which limits the institutional demand that often re-rates a stock. The forward P/E of 11.7 is the number to test: it implies the market expects earnings to recover from the trailing picture, and our composite score of 40/100 says the evidence for that recovery is not yet strong enough to justify a deeper look without a clear margin or sales inflection.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse
    Earnings are down 98.0% year over year with net margin at -2.1%, and free cash flow is -$8,093,000 against a $19M market cap. Earnings quality here deserves a close look.
  • moderate
    Insider net selling
    Insiders sold $0.40M across the last 10 disclosed transactions against $0.21M of buys, a modest but net-negative signal from people closest to the business.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts' mean price target is $5.50, which is 137.3% above the current share price of $2.28.
  • Consensus model fair value sits at $4.41, which the share price trades well below.
  • Return on invested capital reached 9.3%, showing the underlying business still earns a return on the money put into it.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$8M, so the business consumed cash rather than generating it.
  • Net margin of -2.1% and return on equity of -3.2% show the company is losing money on its sales and on shareholder capital.
  • Forward P/E of 4.0x sits far below the sector median of 17.9x, a discount that may reflect doubts about future earnings.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 9, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where TLF's valuation models land
Price
$2.28
Model fair value
$4.41
Model range
$0.84 to $7.98
Fair value $4.41
Price $2.28
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-4.6%
1 month
-12.6%
3 months
-4.6%
6 months
-3.0%
YTD
-16.8%
1 year
-26.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$4.41$3.99$2.28
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$2.28
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$3.99$2.25$2.38
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$2.00first publication$2.34
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.25$2.17$2.53
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.17$2.23$2.45
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.23$2.33$2.52
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.33$2.30$2.63
23 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.30$2.38$2.60
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$2.38$2.33$2.65

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full TLF page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth19Value59Quality44Momentum31Total38
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
3.9x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.45x
EV / Revenue
0.6x
Book value/sh
$5.73
Enterprise value
$43M
Profitability
ROE
-3.2%
FCF yield
-43.33%
ROIC
9.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.52
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.70

Price

-25.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about TLF

Answered from Tandy Leather Factory Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low -27%-3%high 133%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
TLF Tandy Leather Factory Inc. Common Stock$2.28$448% below--3.2%4438
PET.TO Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.C$19.85C$3033% below13.8x133.3%6460
NEWA-B.ST New Wave Group AB (publ)kr 99.65kr 8124% above16.5x11.8%6362
SVV Savers Value Village Inc. Common Stock$9.37$584% above62.5x5.7%4251
FAST.AS Fastned B.V.€33.30----27.0%3449
EYE National Vision Holdings Inc. Common Stock$18.67$9101% above30.1x5.8%5650
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.) Common Stock$17.40$2530% below9.1x23.5%6074

Sector report card

Where TLF ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 11, 2026
    Tandy Leather Factory Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
  • GlobeNewswire•May 11, 2026
    Tandy Leather Factory Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
23 filings of 40
August 2026
Aug 11
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-11
View on SEC →
Aug 11
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
June 2026
Jun 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-06-09
View on SEC →
20 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR