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SPXC

SPX Technologies Inc. Common Stock (SPXC) fair value

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment · NYSE · United States
$160.33+0.20%
Market cap $8.0BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 41% above our fair value
Price
$160.33
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$113
Model range
$70.19 to $195
Fair value $113
Price $160
4 models fit SPX Technologies Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze45
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionSPX Technologies Inc. Common Stock (SPXC)
Fair value (4 models)
$113
ACCE price target
$190
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST; previously $152 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CEST.
Price used: $160 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
41.4% above
-29.3% to fair value
ACCE score
59
out of 100
Analysts
93% buy
14 covering
P/E
28.2x
forward 17.6x
1-year return
-15.8%
Dividend yield
0.00%

SPX Technologies Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

SPX Technologies makes HVAC equipment (including the Fahrenheit and Marley cooling-tower and heating brands) and engineered products for water and infrastructure, so its revenue tracks commercial building activity and replacement cycles more than a single consumer category. Its 40.3% gross margin and 17.7% operating margin point to pricing power in specialized equipment rather than commodity hardware, and the business carries a 14.7% return on equity. Revenue grew 22.9%, which is well ahead of what most building-products peers manage, so the question for a PM is how much of that is organic and how durable it is. At 17.6 times forward earnings against a trailing 29.5, the market is pricing in a meaningful step-up in earnings, which makes the next few quarters of margin delivery the test. The company is not in any major index, a gap that could matter if it grows into an index-eligible size, and it is worth a deeper look to confirm the growth is organic and the margins hold.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Insider selling without buys
    Last 10 disclosed insider transactions were all sales totalling $9.33M, with no insider buys, against 3.1% insider ownership.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue decline
    Quarter-on-quarter growth is -11.1% despite 22.9% year-on-year revenue growth, which points to a softer recent quarter than the annual trend suggests.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 22.9% year over year, well ahead of its 15.0% five-year average pace.
  • Analysts are overwhelmingly positive, with 93% (13 of 14) rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • Latest earnings beat expectations, with earnings per share of 2.02 against 1.85 expected, a 9.2% surprise.
Why it could disappoint
  • Trailing earnings multiple of 29.3x sits well above the 24.0x sector median on forward earnings, and the forward multiple is 17.6x.
  • Returns look thin: return on invested capital of 7.3% and free cash flow yield of 2.9% offer little cushion at this price.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SPXC's valuation models land
Price
$160.33
Model fair value
$113
Model range
$70.19 to $195
Fair value $113
Price $160
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish93% buy · 14 covering analysts
● Strong buy 12● Buy 1● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 1 sell
Since Jul 16, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
29 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-3.4%
1 month
-7.6%
3 months
-27.1%
6 months
-28.0%
YTD
-19.9%
1 year
-15.8%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$166
19 Oct 2026, 18:04 CESTFair value$113$152$166
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$152$148$172
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$190first publication$169
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$148$151$169
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$151$152$173
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$152$149$172
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$149$152$175
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$152$158$183
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$158$162$194

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value55Quality76Momentum17Total59
Valuation
Trailing P/E
28.2x
Forward P/E
17.6x
PEG
0.98
P/B
3.70x
EV / Revenue
3.7x
Book value/sh
$46.89
Enterprise value
$9.1B
Profitability
ROE
14.7%
FCF yield
3.01%
ROIC
7.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.22
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.24

Price

-17.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about SPXC

Answered from SPX Technologies Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 22.2x28.2xhigh 58.1x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -9%15%high 37%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 2.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SPXC SPX Technologies Inc. Common Stock$160.33$11341% above28.2x14.7%7659
OC Owens Corning Inc Common Stock New$116.49$14922% below--9.4%3840
NIBE-B.ST NIBE Industrier AB (publ)kr 44.32kr 2575% above33.9x8.5%5962
AWI Armstrong World Industries Inc Common Stock$171.39$12637% above23.0x36.6%8561
WMS Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. Common Stock$130.92$16621% below22.2x26.4%8064
BLDR Builders FirstSource Inc. Common Stock$57.54$13658% below58.1x2.5%3831
ROCK-B.CO Rockwool A/Skr 191.80---0.0%3730

Sector report card

Where SPXC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 7, 2026
    SPX Technologies to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 15, 2026
    SPX Technologies Announces Acquisition of FIS Water
  • GlobeNewswire•Jun 19, 2026
    SPX Technologies Announces Leadership Transition in D&M Segment
38 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 31
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-31
View on SEC →
Aug 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-10
View on SEC →
35 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR