AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
HII
ACCE-researched

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. Common Stock (HII) fair value

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NYSE · United States
$274.08-1.71%
Market cap $11.0BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$274.08
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$262
Model range
$104 to $431
Fair value $262
Price $274
5 models fit Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 5 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze48
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionHuntington Ingalls Industries Inc. Common Stock (HII)
Fair value (5 models)
$262
ACCE price target
$275
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST; previously $319 since 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CEST.
Price used: $274 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
4.5% above
-4.3% to fair value
ACCE score
58
out of 100
Analysts
50% buy
12 covering
P/E
16.3x
forward 12.6x
1-year return
-5.5%
Dividend yield
2.00%

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Huntington Ingalls builds nuclear-powered aircraft carriers and amphibious assault ships for the US Navy, along with the Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarine programs through its Newport News and Ingalls shipyards. The moat is structural: these are sole-source government contracts, and the company is one of only two US yards able to build nuclear submarines and carriers, so new entrants face decades of qualification and a skilled-labor base that cannot be bought quickly. The growth driver is the shipbuilding ramp, with the Columbia-class ballistic missile submarine and the Virginia-class production rate both pressing the yards, and revenue growth of 10.9% reflects that workload building. The stock screens cheaply for a business of this type, at 15.9x trailing and 12.6x forward earnings, but the operating margin of 7.1% leaves little room for cost overruns, which have been the recurring problem in fixed-price naval work and are the first thing to check in the filings. The 58/100 score says the case is good but not compelling on its own, so the question for a deeper look is whether labor productivity at the yards is improving enough to convert that top-line growth into margin.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF is -$300M despite 36.5% earnings growth and positive operating margin. Working capital or capex surge needs clarification.
  • moderate
    Quality score weak
    ACCE Q score 49/100 lags other dimensions (G:76, V:70). Earnings quality or cash conversion may be deteriorating.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Stock trades at 12.6x forward earnings, well below the 23.9x sector median, suggesting significant upside.
  • Latest earnings beat expectations by 39.1%, demonstrating operational execution and analyst estimate conservatism.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow was negative $300M last twelve months, raising questions about cash generation sustainability.
  • Net margin of 5.0% leaves minimal buffer against cost overruns on fixed-price Navy contracts.
  • Current stock price implies only 3.6% annual cash flow growth over the next five years.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where HII's valuation models land
Price
$274.08
Model fair value
$262
Model range
$104 to $431
Fair value $262
Price $274
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed50% buy · 12 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 1● Hold 6● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
0 buys · 1 sell
Since May 5, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
3 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.8%
1 month
+1.6%
3 months
-4.7%
6 months
-23.7%
YTD
-19.4%
1 year
-5.5%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • ACCE Defense & Aerospace Index 2026: RTX, LMT, GD, NOC Analyzed
    ACCE Defense & Aerospace sits at NAV 1003.29 with RTX, LMT, GD, HII, and NOC as top holdings. Here's what the weights reveal about the sector in 2026.
    2026-09-07
  • ACCE Defense & Aerospace Index: GD, LMT, NOC, RTX Breakdown
    ACCE Defense & Aerospace index sits at NAV 982.02 with GD, HII, NOC, LHX, LMT, and RTX each holding 14-17% weights. Here's what drives the construction.
    2026-06-03
  • ACCE Defense & Aerospace Index Analysis: Military Contractors Rally
    ACCE Defense & Aerospace Index hits 1014.32 NAV as L3Harris lands $1B contract. Deep dive into LMT, HII, NOC holdings driving defense sector gains.
    2026-04-28

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$272
21 Oct 2026, 13:04 CESTFair value$262$319$272
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$319$334$267
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$334$397$265
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$397$401$264
3 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$275first publication$269
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$401$405$264
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$405$401$273
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$401$410$273
6 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$410$423$286

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full HII page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth76Value80Quality49Momentum25Total58
Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.3x
Forward P/E
12.6x
PEG
0.83
P/B
2.01x
EV / Revenue
1.0x
Book value/sh
$134.81
Enterprise value
$13.6B
Profitability
ROE
13.0%
FCF yield
7.23%
ROIC
6.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.62
Dividend yield
2.00%
Beta
0.21

Member of

ACCE Defense & Aerospace

Price

-8.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about HII

Answered from Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 13.5x16.3xhigh 34.2x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 12%13%high 174%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%2.0%high 2.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. Common Stock$274.08$2624% above16.3x13.0%4958
BWXT BWX Technologies Inc. Common Stock$127.30$9534% above33.0x28.3%6047
EMBJ Embraer S.A. Common Stock$69.21$639% above28.7x12.2%5767
TXT Textron Inc. Common Stock$78.04$9316% below14.5x12.1%6050
MAZDOCK.NS Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited₹1922.30--27.1x28.8%8449
CSG.AS CSG N.V.€13.83€143% below13.5x44.4%7552
FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. Common Stock$157.50$12625% above34.2x174.5%6749

Sector report card

Where HII ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 13, 2026
    HII is Awarded Contract to Support AUKUS Engineering and Design Work
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 8, 2026
    HII to Host Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call and Webcast on Oct. 29
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 2, 2026
    HII Promotes Greg Ennis to Chief Financial Officer of Mission Technologies
19 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 20
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR