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EMBRAC-B.ST

Embracer Group AB (publ) (EMBRAC-B.ST) fair value

Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 90.40-1.42%
Market cap kr 19.7BNext earnings 2026-11-11Updated Oct 22, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 15% above our fair value
Price
kr 90.40
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about kr 78.65
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionEmbracer Group AB (publ) (EMBRAC-B.ST)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
kr 110
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CEST.
Price used: kr 90.40 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
65
out of 100
1-year return
-12.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Embracer Group AB (publ) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Embracer Group owns a portfolio of game studios and franchises, including Middle-earth and Lord of the Rings titles, Metal Gear, and Kingdom Come: Deliverance, alongside its Coffee Stain and Plaion publishing arms. Its gross margin of 71.4% shows the franchise catalogue earns well once a title is in market, which is the core of the bull case. Revenue grew 24.3%, but operating margin is still slightly negative at -1.9% and ROE is -25.6%, so the thesis rests on the group converting that top-line growth into profit after a long restructuring. The company is worth a deeper look if you want exposure to a restructured studio portfolio with recurring IP, but the earnings are not yet there to confirm the turnaround.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    Free cash flow is $-546M against a SEK 19.7B market cap, and net margin is -32.2%. The business is burning cash, which should shape how much weight a position can carry.
  • moderate
    Operating losses persist
    Operating margin is -1.9% and ROE is -25.6%, so profitability has not yet caught up with 24.3% revenue growth. Earnings growth of 24.7% is off a loss-making base.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 24.3% year over year, well above its 12.0% average annual pace over five years.
  • The latest quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of 1.03 against 0.21 expected.
  • Debt is light at 0.08 times equity, and the share count fell 7.4% last fiscal year.
Why it could disappoint
  • The company lost money on every krona of sales, with a net margin of -32.2% over the period.
  • Free cash flow over the last 12 months was -SEK 546M, a yield of -2.7%, so the business is burning cash.
  • Analysts' mean target of SEK 90.35 sits essentially at the kr 90.40 share price, so little upside is priced in by them.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 11, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where EMBRAC-B.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 90.40
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about kr 78.65
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
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Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+0.4%
1 month
+4.6%
3 months
+40.5%
6 months
+46.0%
YTD
+49.0%
1 year
-12.3%

Held by ETFs

ETFs we cover that hold Embracer Group AB (publ) among their largest holdings, by weight.

  • HERO · Global X Video Games & Esports1.5% of the fund
Holdings as of 2026-10-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 01:53 CESTACCE price targetkr 110first publicationkr 91.70

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in SEK. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth80Value55Quality47Momentum76Total65
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
no data
PEG
no data
P/B
0.96x
EV / Revenue
1.0x
Book value/sh
kr 88.48
Enterprise value
kr 16.0B
Profitability
ROE
-25.6%
FCF yield
-2.77%
ROIC
-22.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.08
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.80

Price

-11.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about EMBRAC-B.ST

Answered from Embracer Group AB (publ) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -26%-26%high 171%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 7.9%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
EMBRAC-B.ST Embracer Group AB (publ)kr 90.40----25.6%4765
VIV.PA Vivendi€1.55€14% above77.5x0.3%4629
HACK.ST Hacksaw AB (publ)kr 54.60kr 8838% below8.1x170.5%10068
PDX.ST Paradox Interactive AB (publ)kr 136.30kr 9641% above114.5x5.2%6861
MTG-B.ST Modern Times Group MTG ABkr 119.00kr 15624% below83.8x1.5%5560
3635.T Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.¥1658.00--11.3x20.6%9579
6460.T Sega Sammy Holdings Inc.¥3359.00----0.1%3972

Sector report card

Where EMBRAC-B.ST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…