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EGP

EastGroup Properties Inc. Common Stock (EGP) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial · NYSE · United States
$199.02-1.82%
Market cap $10.9BNext earnings 2026-10-21Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 106% above our fair value
Price
$199.02
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$96.71
Model range
$95.88 to $97.54
Fair value $96.71
Price $199
2 models fit EastGroup Properties Inc. Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze41
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionEastGroup Properties Inc. Common Stock (EGP)
Fair value (2 models)
$96.71
ACCE price target
$186
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $98.98 since 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $199 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: EV/EBITDA comparison and Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
105.8% above
-51.4% to fair value
ACCE score
62
out of 100
Analysts
75% buy
20 covering
P/E
35.6x
forward 42.0x
1-year return
+10.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

EastGroup Properties Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

EastGroup Properties owns and develops multi-tenant industrial warehouses concentrated in Sunbelt markets such as Houston, Dallas, Jacksonville, Orlando and Phoenix, leasing mostly small-to-mid-size bays to logistics and light-manufacturing tenants. Its moat is the portfolio itself: well-located, land-constrained infill assets with a 40.8% operating margin and a 73.6% gross margin that reflect long-term, mostly fixed-escalator leases. Revenue growth of 9.1% is being driven by rent increases on existing space and newly delivered developments, which gives the story more visible compounding than most industrial REITs can show. At a 34.5 trailing and 42.0 forward P/E, the market is paying a premium for that durability, and with an 8.7% ROE and a 10.6B market cap the question for a deeper look is whether the rent growth can keep pace with that multiple as the cost of capital stays elevated. The 64/100 score and absence from major indices make this a name for a focused work-up rather than a screen-driven position.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Valuation stretched
    Forward P/E of 42.0 and EV/EBITDA of 22.4 leave little room for error if industrial rent growth slows from the current 9.1% revenue pace.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest of 10.7% of float is a meaningful bet against the stock, which can amplify moves in either direction.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue has grown 9.1% over the past year and averaged 14.7% a year over five years.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $405M, and analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy at 75%.
  • The mean analyst price target of $227.85 sits 15.4% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • The consensus fair value of $97.12 is 50.8% below the share price, and both valuation models point the same way.
  • Shares trade at 34.6 times trailing earnings and 42.0 times forward earnings, a premium that leaves little room for error.
  • Return on invested capital is only 4.0%, and the diluted share count grew 9.1% last fiscal year.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where EGP's valuation models land
Price
$199.02
Model fair value
$96.71
Model range
$95.88 to $97.54
Fair value $96.71
Price $199
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
EV/EBITDA comparison
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish75% buy · 20 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 5● Hold 5● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.3%
1 month
-1.8%
3 months
-6.6%
6 months
+0.6%
YTD
+11.7%
1 year
+10.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$96.71$98.98$203
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$98.98$95.22$201
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$196
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$95.22$97.12$197
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$186first publication$195
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$97.12$93.07$195
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$93.07$94.49$196
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$94.49$93.42$202
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$93.42$95.76$202
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$95.76$94.57$198

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value34Quality81Momentum63Total62
Valuation
Trailing P/E
35.6x
Forward P/E
42.0x
PEG
8.42
P/B
3.05x
EV / Revenue
16.6x
Book value/sh
$65.64
Enterprise value
$12.5B
Profitability
ROE
8.7%
FCF yield
3.71%
ROIC
4.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.50
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.02

Price

+12.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about EGP

Answered from EastGroup Properties Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 20% of peers
low 0.0x35.6xhigh 41.0x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -5%9%high 14%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 6.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
EGP EastGroup Properties Inc. Common Stock$199.02$97106% above35.6x8.7%8162
CUBE CubeSmart Common Shares$40.15$2374% above27.5x12.0%8157
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. Common Stock$36.28----4.7%6040
LINE Lineage Inc. Common Stock$35.09----2.0%3532
FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc. Common Stock$55.29$3942% above21.6x13.6%8158
SGRO.L SEGRO Plc£9.04--41.0x2.5%7656
STAG Stag Industrial Inc. Common Stock$36.51$353% above28.0x7.0%7653

Sector report card

Where EGP ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 1, 2026
    EastGroup Properties Announces New Directors
  • PR Newswire•Sep 25, 2026
    EastGroup Properties Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast
  • PR Newswire•Sep 3, 2026
    EastGroup Properties Announces Recent Business Activity and Participation in Upcoming Conferences
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 21
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
Oct 21
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-21
View on SEC →
Oct 13
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-08
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR