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CMTG

Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. Common Stock (CMTG) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · NYSE · United States
$1.21+0.00%
Market cap $171MNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 81% below our fair value
Price
$1.21
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.47
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as a REIT (property company). None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Analyst consensus and Net asset value instead.
ACCE opinionClaros Mortgage Trust Inc. Common Stock (CMTG)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$1.20
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $1.21 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Net asset value.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
25
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
6 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 18.6x
1-year return
-65.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Claros Mortgage Trust is a commercial real estate lender that originates and holds senior and mezzanine loans on transitional office, multifamily and hospitality properties in the US. The structural case rests on its loan book being a direct, first-lien-heavy exposure to a lending niche where traditional banks have pulled back, though the data shows that franchise is currently under heavy strain: revenue is down 63.8% and return on equity sits at -36.0%. Its 0.0 trailing P/E reflects losses, while the 18.6 forward P/E implies the market expects earnings to recover, so the thesis hinges on whether credit losses peak and the loan book stabilises. With a market capitalisation of about $166M and a score of 25/100 from our screen, this is a stressed name that merits a deeper look only if you can underwrite the credit quality of the loan portfolio.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Revenue collapsing sharply
    Revenue is down 63.8% year over year and 36.9% quarter over quarter, while free cash flow is negative at $-33,182,000. Earnings fell 95.5% YoY.
  • high
    Leverage and negative returns
    Debt/Equity is 2.05 and ROE is -36.0%, so the balance sheet is stretched while the business is losing money on its equity base.
  • moderate
    Score sits near the bottom
    The ACCE score is 25/100, with Growth at 7 and Momentum at 17. The score rose only 4 points over 90 days, from 21 to 25.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Over five years revenue has grown 9.5% per year on average, showing the business has expanded over the longer term.
  • The forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6x is not stretched for a company whose earnings are expected to recover.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 63.8% year over year, a sharp contraction that makes the recent trend hard to dismiss.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative at -$33M, so the business is consuming cash rather than generating it.
  • Not one of the six analysts covering the stock rates it Buy or Strong Buy, and the latest earnings missed expectations by 52.4%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CMTG's valuation models land
Price
$1.21
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $6.47
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Net asset value
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 6 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 4● Sell 1● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.5%
1 month
-8.3%
3 months
-44.5%
6 months
-53.6%
YTD
-60.5%
1 year
-65.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$1.20first publication$1.23

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value24Quality50Momentum17Total25
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
18.6x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.16x
EV / Revenue
17.5x
Book value/sh
$8.78
Enterprise value
$2.6B
Profitability
ROE
-36.0%
FCF yield
-19.44%
ROIC
-8.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.05
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.17

Price

-66.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about CMTG

Answered from Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 10.0x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -36%-36%high 8%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 18.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. Common Stock$1.21----36.0%5025
MITT TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. Common Stock$5.44--7.2x8.1%6762
RC Ready Capital Corporation Common Stock$1.05----33.5%4642
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. Common Stock$7.37--10.0x7.8%6762
ACR ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. Common Stock$11.69$1733% below-5.5%4337
ACRE Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Common Stock$3.35$261% above--0.9%5044
SEVN Seven Hills Realty Trust Common Stock$6.20--9.1x4.0%5441

Sector report card

Where CMTG ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Jul 29, 2026
    Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
  • Business Wire•Jul 15, 2026
    Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Announces Dates for Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call
  • Business Wire•Jul 15, 2026
    Mack Real Estate Group Announces Senior Leadership Promotions and Transitions
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 8
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-03
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR