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CHMI

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Common Stock (CHMI) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · NYSE · United States
$2.56+0.79%
Market cap $95MNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 20, 2026
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Our verdict
Trades 26% above our fair value
Price
$2.56
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$2.03
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a REIT (property company): Price to FFO.
ACCE opinionCherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Common Stock (CHMI)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$2.50
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $2.56 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Price to FFO.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
59
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
2 covering
P/E
13.4x
forward 9.0x
1-year return
+5.3%
Dividend yield
16.00%

Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Cherry Hill Mortgage is a small mortgage REIT that invests mainly in agency residential mortgage-backed securities and a smaller book of credit and multifamily loans, funded through repo borrowing and managed externally by its adviser. The attraction is the spread: at a 9.0x forward P/E and a 13.5x trailing multiple, the market is paying little for earnings that have grown 27.6% on the top line, though a 7.2% ROE and a 96M market cap leave little room for error if funding costs move against the book. The near-term driver is the rate path, since a steeper curve and stable repo pricing would widen net interest spread and support the dividend, while any renewed rate volatility would hit book value first. The stock is not in any major index, which keeps coverage thin and can leave it mispriced, but it also limits liquidity. The question for the PM is whether the discount to forward earnings reflects a fair view of leverage and rate risk or an overlooked spread opportunity, and that needs a look at book value trends and the funding mix before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Leverage and negative free cash flow
    Debt/Equity of 5.43 with free cash flow of -$4.69M. Earnings fell 49.5% year over year despite revenue up 27.6%, so the cash generation case is weak.
  • moderate
    Multi-year revenue decline
    Five-year revenue CAGR is -2.1%, so the 27.6% year-over-year jump is a single-year rebound rather than an established trend.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 27.6% year over year in the latest 10-Q, a sharp turnaround from its weak multi-year trend.
  • The latest quarter beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.15 against 0.13 expected.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $3.10 sits 22.0% above the $2.54 share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow was negative $5M over the last twelve months, so the high dividend is not covered by cash generated.
  • Debt is 5.43 times equity, a heavy borrowing load that leaves little cushion if conditions worsen.
  • Return on invested capital of 0.4% and return on equity of 7.2% show weak returns on the capital the business uses.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CHMI's valuation models land
Price
$2.56
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$2.03
Model
Fair value
Upside
Price to FFO
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 2 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.8%
1 month
-7.2%
3 months
+13.3%
6 months
-1.5%
YTD
+0.4%
1 year
+5.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$2.50first publication$2.54

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value71Quality67Momentum47Total59
Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.4x
Forward P/E
9.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.85x
EV / Revenue
9.8x
Book value/sh
$3.26
Enterprise value
$1.3B
Profitability
ROE
7.2%
FCF yield
-4.93%
ROIC
0.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
5.43
Dividend yield
16.00%
Beta
1.10

Price

+5.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about CHMI

Answered from Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x13.4xhigh 13.4x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -36%7%high 8%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%16.0%high 18.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CHMI Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Common Stock$2.56--13.4x7.2%6759
RPT Rithm Property Trust Inc. Common stock$11.12$5139% above-1.0%6347
SEVN Seven Hills Realty Trust Common Stock$6.20--9.1x4.0%5441
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. Common Stock$1.21----36.0%5025
MITT TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc. Common Stock$5.44--7.2x8.1%6762
RC Ready Capital Corporation Common Stock$1.05----33.5%4642
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. Common Stock$7.37--10.0x7.8%6762

Sector report card

Where CHMI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 10, 2026
    Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Announces Common and Preferred Dividends for the Third Quarter 2026
  • Business Wire•Aug 10, 2026
    Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results
  • Business Wire•Aug 10, 2026
    TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
5 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
22 filings of 39
August 2026
Aug 10
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Aug 10
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-10
View on SEC →
Aug 10
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-09
View on SEC →
19 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR