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CATE.ST

Catena AB (publ) (CATE.ST) fair value

Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
kr 358.20+5.85%
Market cap kr 22.5BNext earnings 2026-10-23Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
kr 358.20
Model fair valueConfidence: good
kr 357
Model range
kr 242 to kr 471
Fair value kr 357
Price kr 358
3 models fit Catena AB (publ) and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionCatena AB (publ) (CATE.ST)
Fair value (3 models)
kr 357
ACCE price target
kr 355
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST.
Rating published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST.
Price used: kr 358 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
0.4% above
-0.4% to fair value
ACCE score
64
out of 100
P/E
10.0x
forward 20.0x
1-year return
-24.7%
Dividend yield
2.82%

Catena AB (publ) in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Catena is a Swedish owner of logistics and light-industrial properties, leasing warehouses and distribution centres mainly to tenants in Sweden, Finland and Denmark. The company's edge is its concentration in modern, long-leased logistics assets in the Nordics, which gives it high gross and operating margins (82.8% and 84.9%) and a rental base that is hard to replicate at scale. Revenue grew 25.5% over the reported period, and the forward P/E of 13.2 sits above the trailing 9.9, which suggests the market is pricing in some earnings normalisation rather than further acceleration. With an ROE of only 8.5% and no index membership, the stock is worth a deeper look mainly to test whether that growth is organic rental income and whether the margin profile holds once financing costs and property revaluations are stripped out.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where CATE.ST's valuation models land
Price
kr 358.20
Model fair value
kr 357
Model range
kr 242 to kr 471
Fair value kr 357
Price kr 358
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+4.6%
1 month
-1.3%
3 months
-7.2%
6 months
-18.9%
YTD
-20.5%
1 year
-24.7%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publicationkr 338
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTFair valuekr 357first publicationkr 338
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price targetkr 355first publicationkr 338

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in SEK. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value68Quality81Momentum17Total64
Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.0x
Forward P/E
20.0x
PEG
0.06
P/B
0.88x
EV / Revenue
17.1x
Book value/sh
kr 412.46
Enterprise value
kr 49.2B
Profitability
ROE
8.5%
FCF yield
7.01%
ROIC
3.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.76
Dividend yield
2.82%
Beta
1.22

Price

-24.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about CATE.ST

Answered from Catena AB (publ) fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 50% of peers
low 7.9x10.0xhigh 63.2x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 2%9%high 14%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 1.2%2.8%high 3.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
CATE.ST Catena AB (publ)kr 358.20kr 357At fair value10.0x8.5%8164
TEG.DE TAG Immobilien AG€11.38€1416% below63.2x1.6%5843
HIAG.SW HIAG Immobilien Holding AGCHF 131.80CHF 8752% above8.6x13.0%8670
VESTA.MX Corporacion Inmobiliaria VestaMXN 67.76MXN 637% above8.2x14.1%8683
VTMX Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing ten (10) Common Shares$36.34$353% above7.9x14.1%8681
PARAUCO.SN Parq AraucoCLP 3640.10--21.8x10.6%7658
ZUGN.SW Zug Estates Holding AGCHF 2210.00CHF 176725% above17.6x5.9%8145

Sector report card

Where CATE.ST ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…