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VTMX

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing ten (10) Common Shares (VTMX) fair value

Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · NYSE · United States
$36.34+1.54%
Market cap $3.4BNext earnings 2026-10-22Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$36.34
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$35.29
Model range
$29.86 to $43.09
Fair value $35.29
Price $36.34
4 models fit Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing ten (10) Common Shares and they partly agree: 2 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze46
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionCorporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing ten (10) Common Shares (VTMX)
Fair value (4 models)
$35.29
ACCE price target
$36.00
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CEST; previously $37.91 since 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $36.34 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
3.0% above
-2.9% to fair value
ACCE score
81
out of 100
Analysts
50% buy
4 covering
P/E
7.9x
forward 17.4x
1-year return
+32.6%
Dividend yield
2.30%

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing ten (10) Common Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Vesta develops and leases modern industrial warehouses and logistics parks across Mexico, the largest real estate platform of its kind in the country, with a tenant base that includes a large share of multinationals serving North American nearshoring flows. The moat is scale and land: a large owned land bank, long-dated leases with built-in escalators, and a national footprint that makes it the default build-to-suit partner for manufacturers relocating production from Asia. Revenue growth of 16.8% and a 74.7% operating margin reflect a portfolio where rents, not development sales, drive earnings. The near-term driver is continued lease-up and new build-to-suit deliveries in the northern industrial corridors, which should keep occupancy and rent growth supportive. At a trailing P/E of 7.5 against a forward P/E of 13.7, the market is pricing earnings in a different way than the recent trend implies, which makes the reconciliation of those two multiples the first thing to check in a deeper review.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Earnings growth flattered by base effects
    Earnings are up 237.8% YoY while revenue grew 16.8%, and net margin of 132.2% sits far above the 74.7% operating margin. Lumpy non-operating items may be inflating the earnings figure, so trailing P/E of 7.5 may overstate durable profitability.
  • moderate
    Quarter-on-quarter growth stalled
    Revenue rose just 0.9% QoQ against 16.8% YoY, suggesting the year-over-year pace is slowing. Watch whether the recent quarterly trend holds before extrapolating the 5y revenue CAGR of 14.2%.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 16.8% year over year, ahead of its 14.2% average annual pace over the past five years.
  • Trailing earnings multiple of 7.5x and forward multiple of 13.7x both sit well below the sector median forward multiple of 18.6x.
Why it could disappoint
  • A net margin of 132.2% is inflated by revaluation gains, so it overstates how profitable the core business really is.
  • Return on invested capital of 4.9% is thin, and return on equity of 14.1% leans on debt, with debt to equity at 0.46.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VTMX's valuation models land
Price
$36.34
Model fair value
$35.29
Model range
$29.86 to $43.09
Fair value $35.29
Price $36.34
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed50% buy · 4 covering analysts
● Strong buy 2● Buy 0● Hold 1● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
0 buys · 8 sells
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+3.5%
1 month
+10.7%
3 months
+8.0%
6 months
+0.2%
YTD
+19.2%
1 year
+32.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 12:04 CESTFair value$35.29$37.91$35.79
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$36.72
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$37.91$41.21$36.72
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$36.00first publication$33.87
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$41.21$35.81$33.87
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$35.81$36.27$32.59
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.27$36.66$32.83
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$36.66$37.03$33.72
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$37.03$38.37$33.58
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$38.37$38.90$34.03

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value73Quality86Momentum77Total81
Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.9x
Forward P/E
17.4x
PEG
0.03
P/B
0.97x
EV / Revenue
12.6x
Book value/sh
$33.91
Enterprise value
$3.8B
Profitability
ROE
14.1%
FCF yield
4.78%
ROIC
4.9%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.46
Dividend yield
2.30%
Beta
0.26

Price

+26.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about VTMX

Answered from Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing ten (10) Common Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 7.9x7.9xhigh 63.2x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 2%14%high 16%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.9%2.3%high 3.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VTMX Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B de C.V. American Depositary Shares each representing ten (10) Common Shares$36.34$353% above7.9x14.1%8681
VESTA.MX Corporacion Inmobiliaria VestaMXN 67.76MXN 637% above8.2x14.1%8683
PARAUCO.SN Parq AraucoCLP 3640.10--21.8x10.6%7658
ALLN.SW Allreal Holding AGCHF 191.20CHF 13541% above15.2x7.7%7245
JOE St. Joe Company (The) Common Stock$67.57$4937% above31.7x16.3%8270
TEG.DE TAG Immobilien AG€11.38€1416% below63.2x1.6%5843
CATE.ST Catena AB (publ)kr 358.20kr 357At fair value10.0x8.5%8164

Sector report card

Where VTMX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Sep 28, 2026
    Vesta Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast
  • Business Wire•Sep 9, 2026
    Vesta Repays US$105 Million of Private Debt Ahead of Maturity
  • Business Wire•Aug 31, 2026
    Vesta Receives Credit Rating Upgrade to ‘BBB’ with Stable Outlook from Fitch Ratings
9 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 7
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-25
View on SEC →
Oct 2
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-10-02
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 9
6-KForeign current reportPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR