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ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company Common Stock (ALGT) fair value

Industrials · Airlines · NASDAQ · United States
$67.67-3.82%
Market cap $1.9BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 50% above our fair value
Price
$67.67
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$45.02
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionAllegiant Travel Company Common Stock (ALGT)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$85.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $67.67 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
56
out of 100
Analysts
79% buy
14 covering
P/E
59.6x
forward 6.4x
1-year return
+4.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Allegiant Travel Company Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Allegiant Travel flies leisure routes out of secondary airports, mainly from smaller cities into Las Vegas, Orlando, Florida's Gulf and Atlantic coasts, and the Sun Belt, and it sells bundled hotel and vacation packages alongside seats. Its edge is a low-cost, ultra-low-fare model built on a single-type fleet and cheap secondary-airport slots, which lets it undercut hub carriers on price-sensitive leisure demand. Revenue grew 36.9% over the last year, but the 22.8% gross margin, 9.2% operating margin and 1.8% ROE show how thin the profit cushion remains. The stock trades at 6.4 times forward earnings against 61.8 trailing, a gap that tells you the market expects a sharp earnings recovery and that the outcome hinges on whether fuel costs and fare pressure allow it to show up.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy insider selling
    Insiders sold $40.12M across the last 10 disclosed transactions with zero buys, while insiders hold 10.1% of the company.
  • high
    Thin net margin, high leverage
    Net margin is just 0.9% and debt/equity is 1.77, so earnings have little cushion if fuel or demand costs rise.
  • moderate
    Score down seven points
    The ACCE score fell from 65 to 58 over 90 days, with quality at 33 and moat at 32 the weakest components.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 11.1% of shares, a meaningful bearish position that could amplify moves in either direction.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 36.9% year over year, well ahead of its 21.4% average annual pace over five years.
  • The company beat expected earnings by 72.4% in its latest report, posting $2.19 per share against $1.27 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is just 0.9%, so most revenue growth is not turning into profit for shareholders.
  • Debt is 1.77 times equity, and return on invested capital is negative at -1.3%.
  • The stock trades at 56.7 times trailing earnings, far above the sector median forward P/E of 24.0x.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 4, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ALGT's valuation models land
Price
$67.67
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$45.02
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish79% buy · 14 covering analysts
● Strong buy 9● Buy 2● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.0%
1 month
-12.4%
3 months
-31.0%
6 months
-14.4%
YTD
-20.6%
1 year
+4.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$85.00first publication$76.43
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$75.75$110$76.43
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$110$113$77.61
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$113$110$77.61
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$110$109$79.09
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$109$111$79.13
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$111$114$78.50
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$114$123$75.86
3 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$123$127$72.41
31 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$127$119$78.94

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value59Quality33Momentum32Total56
Valuation
Trailing P/E
59.6x
Forward P/E
6.4x
PEG
1.83
P/B
1.19x
EV / Revenue
1.1x
Book value/sh
$65.42
Enterprise value
$3.1B
Profitability
ROE
1.8%
FCF yield
3.90%
ROIC
-1.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.77
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.54

Price

+1.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about ALGT

Answered from Allegiant Travel Company Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0x59.6xhigh 479.5x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -120%2%high 63%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ALGT Allegiant Travel Company Common Stock$67.67--59.6x1.8%3356
AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)$15.16--1.5x0.0%3751
WIZZ.L Wizz Air Holdings Plc£9.52--479.5x-37.8%1751
VGN.AX Virgin Australia Holdings LtdA$2.36--3.7x0.0%4062
AF.PA Air France-KLM SA€9.95--2.6x63.1%4957
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc. Common Stock$4.94----120.2%1349
JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation Common Stock$2.63----44.4%1721

Sector report card

Where ALGT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Sep 18, 2026
    Allegiant Wins Top Award as the Best Low-Cost Airline in North America at 2026 World Airline Awards
  • PR Newswire•Sep 1, 2026
    Allegiant Announces Two New Nonstop Routes Connecting Flint-Area to Premier Florida Destinations
  • PR Newswire•Aug 31, 2026
    Allegiant Pledges $20,000 to Dolly Parton Children's Hospital in Knoxville, Tennessee
3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 23
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-13
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR