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JBLU
ACCE-researched

JetBlue Airways Corporation Common Stock (JBLU) fair value

Industrials · Airlines · NASDAQ · United States
$2.63-0.94%
Market cap $1000MNext earnings 2026-10-27Updated Oct 17, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 43% below our fair value
Price
$2.63
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $4.58
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionJetBlue Airways Corporation Common Stock (JBLU)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$3.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $4.30 since 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $2.63 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
21
out of 100
Analysts
0% buy
17 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 6.3x
1-year return
-42.5%
Dividend yield
0.00%

JetBlue Airways Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

JetBlue is a US airline with a focus on the Northeast, Florida and transatlantic routes, known for onboard service and a premium Mint cabin. Its position at constrained airports such as Boston and New York is an asset. The driver is its plan to restore profits through cost cuts and premium revenue. Revenue grew 14.5%, but the operating margin is -5.2% and ROE is -44.4%, at 6.3x forward earnings.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 5 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Negative free cash flow and high leverage
    FCF is -$921M while Debt/Equity stands at 5.91x. Unsustainable cash burn with minimal equity cushion raises going-concern risk.
  • severe
    Profitability collapse and negative earnings
    Net margin -9.3%, ROE -44.4%, and earnings down 82.9% YoY. Company is unprofitable despite 14.5% revenue growth, signalling structural margin failure.
  • high
    ACCE score collapse
    Score fell 15 points in 90 days (41 to 26). Quality and value components both deteriorated sharply, reflecting fundamental deterioration.
  • high
    Extreme short interest and insider selling
    Short interest at 29.5% with insiders selling $0.91M and buying $0M. Insider confidence absent while bearish positioning is heavy.
  • high
    Valuation disconnect and negative forward earnings
    Forward P/E of -4.3 and EV/EBITDA of 102.8x indicate market pricing in continued losses. Fair value range ($2.50-$6.50) wide, reflecting high uncertainty.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue jumped 14.5% year over year, suggesting demand recovery and pricing power are returning to the airline.
  • Analyst consensus price target of $4.58 implies 19.4% upside from the current $3.84 share price.
  • Latest earnings beat expectations by 5.7%, showing the airline is executing better than the market feared.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow is negative $921M over the last twelve months, and the company cannot fund operations without burning cash.
  • Debt to equity of 5.91 leaves almost no financial flexibility to weather a downturn or refinance maturing debt.
  • Not a single analyst rates the stock Buy or Strong Buy out of 17 covering it, signaling deep skepticism among professionals.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 27, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where JBLU's valuation models land
Price
$2.63
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $4.58
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish0% buy · 17 covering analysts
● Strong buy 0● Buy 0● Hold 11● Sell 3● Strong sell 3
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-10.2%
1 month
-40.1%
3 months
-50.1%
6 months
-50.1%
YTD
-42.2%
1 year
-42.5%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $JBLU ACCE Score Jumps 15 Points to 39 - What's Driving It
    JetBlue's ACCE composite score rose from 24 to 39, led by a Momentum subscore of 83/100. Here's what the data shows and where caution still applies.
    2026-07-09

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$3.00$4.30$3.01
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$4.30first publication$4.40

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value11Quality17Momentum17Total21
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
6.3x
PEG
0.88
P/B
1.04x
EV / Revenue
0.9x
Book value/sh
$4.21
Enterprise value
$9.0B
Profitability
ROE
-44.4%
FCF yield
-121.61%
ROIC
-4.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
4.84
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.77

Price

-42.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about JBLU

Answered from JetBlue Airways Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 479.5x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -120%-44%high 6%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 3.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation Common Stock$2.63----44.4%1721
CJT.TO Cargojet Inc.C$84.24C$10419% below27.2x6.3%4251
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc. Common Stock$5.30----120.2%1349
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. Common Stock$17.19$2429% below11.4x5.5%5150
VGN.AX Virgin Australia Holdings LtdA$2.38--3.7x0.0%4062
WIZZ.L Wizz Air Holdings Plc£9.76--479.5x-37.8%1751
VOLARA.MX Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionMXN 10.74----116.8%2533

Sector report card

Where JBLU ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 15, 2026
    JetBlue Launches New Fort Lauderdale-Cali Service, Expanding to Four Destinations in Colombia
  • Business Wire•Oct 15, 2026
    JetBlue’s BlueFirst™ New Domestic First Class Now on Sale
  • PR Newswire•Oct 15, 2026
    The Aruba Tourism Authority and JetBlue Celebrate 20 Years of Connecting New York and Aruba
12 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 10
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-10
View on SEC →
Sep 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-31
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR