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7453.T
ACCE-researched

Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. (7453.T) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores · TSE · Japan
¥4715.00+2.57%
Market cap ¥2.50TNext earnings 2026-10-14Updated Oct 25, 2026 · valuation updating
Our verdict
No fair value
We are missing the financial data our models need for this company. It will appear once the data arrives.
Not valued: there are no financial statements on file yet.
ACCE opinionRyohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. (7453.T)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
¥4565
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CEST.
Price used: ¥4715 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 08:30 CEST.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
77
out of 100
P/E
32.8x
forward 29.9x
1-year return
+49.2%
Dividend yield
0.81%

Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Ryohin Keikaku, the operator of the MUJI brand, sells private-label apparel, household goods and food through its own stores and online channels, with a large share of sales coming from in-house design rather than third-party brands. Its edge is that vertical model: a 52.8% gross margin is unusually high for a retailer, and it reflects control over product design, sourcing and pricing. Revenue growth of 20.3% and a 20.6% return on equity show the model still compounding, though the 9.7% operating margin leaves little room for error on costs. At 33.0 times trailing earnings and 29.2 times forward, the stock is priced for that growth to continue, so the case for a deeper look rests on whether store expansion, particularly overseas, keeps translating into profit. The numbers justify a closer look at margin durability and international unit economics before anything else.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Valuation stretched vs growth
    P/E of 32.0 and EV/EBITDA of 17.3 against a 5-year revenue CAGR of only +2.3%. The price already assumes the recent surge holds.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue slowdown
    Revenue fell 7.7% QoQ even though it grew 20.3% YoY. The latest quarter's momentum is weaker than the annual figure suggests.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-22 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 20.3% over the latest year, well ahead of the 2.3% yearly average of the past five years.
  • Return on equity of 20.6% and free cash flow of JPY 47.7B show the business earns strong returns on the capital it uses.
  • Analysts' mean price target of JPY 5062.50 sits 10.1% above the current share price, suggesting they see room to rise.
Why it could disappoint
  • Earnings per share beat expectations by 68.3%, a jump that will be hard to repeat and may not recur next year.
  • At a trailing P/E of 32.0x, the shares already price in a lot of growth, leaving little margin for disappointment.
  • The share price of ¥4715.00 trades 3.3% above the ACCE price target of ¥4565.00, so our valuation sees no upside here.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where 7453.T's valuation models land
Price
¥4715.00
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Quality

INVESTOR
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Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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Smart Money

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In one line

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Last 90 days
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No trades filed
Last 180 days
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No trades filed
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Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+0.1%
1 month
+19.5%
3 months
+12.2%
6 months
+27.4%
YTD
+69.5%
1 year
+49.2%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CESTACCE price target¥4565first publication¥4597

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in JPY. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value45Quality77Momentum97Total77
Valuation
Trailing P/E
32.8x
Forward P/E
29.9x
PEG
0.22
P/B
no data
EV / Revenue
no data
Book value/sh
no data
Enterprise value
no data
Profitability
ROE
20.6%
FCF yield
1.91%
ROIC
no data
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.23
Dividend yield
0.81%
Beta
no data

Price

+55.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about 7453.T

Answered from Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 7.4x32.8xhigh 37.3x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 7%21%high 34%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.8%high 3.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
7453.T Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd.¥4715.00--32.8x20.6%7777
FALABELLA.SN FalabellaCLP 6575.00--12.4x19.0%7366
8267.T Aeon Co., Ltd.¥1181.00--37.3x6.6%3339
MKS.L Marks and Spencer Group plc£4.16£43% above34.7x7.8%3871
DDS Dillard's Inc. Common Stock$695.68$46948% above15.4x33.8%7466
LIVEPOLC-1.MX El Puerto de LiverpoolMXN 102.58MXN 19648% below7.4x10.6%6367
M Macy's Inc Common Stock$24.10$2813% below8.9x16.0%5672

Sector report card

Where 7453.T ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

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