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M

Macy's Inc Common Stock (M) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores · NYSE · United States
$24.10-0.29%
Market cap $6.3BNext earnings 2026-12-02Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 13% below our fair value
Price
$24.10
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$27.83
Model range
$14.45 to $41.69
Fair value $27.83
Price $24.10
4 models fit Macy's Inc Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)Silver78
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionMacy's Inc Common Stock (M)
Fair value (4 models)
$27.83
ACCE price target
$23.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $31.24 since 11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $24.10 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
13.4% below
+15.5% to fair value
ACCE score
72
out of 100
Analysts
15% buy
13 covering
P/E
8.6x
forward 9.4x
1-year return
+29.3%
Dividend yield
3.19%

Macy's Inc Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Macy's runs the namesake department store chain, Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury, plus a growing digital storefront, selling apparel, beauty and home goods across roughly 500 stores. At a 40.3% gross margin the business still earns a thin 3.2% operating margin, so the thesis rests on cost cuts and store rationalization converting that gap into earnings rather than on top-line growth, which is running at just 1.2%. The stock trades at 8.3 times trailing and 9.4 times forward earnings, a multiple that already prices in a lot of skepticism about the mall-based store base. A 16.0% return on equity and a 74/100 composite score suggest the balance sheet and profitability metrics are better than the headline sales trend implies, which makes this worth a closer look at the margin bridge and the pace of store closures.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026

Next results

Dec 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where M's valuation models land
Price
$24.10
Model fair value
$27.83
Model range
$14.45 to $41.69
Fair value $27.83
Price $24.10
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish15% buy · 13 covering analysts
● Strong buy 1● Buy 1● Hold 10● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+0.4%
1 month
+8.4%
3 months
+3.1%
6 months
+19.9%
YTD
+9.3%
1 year
+29.3%

SEC filings

Held by ETFs

ETFs we cover that hold Macy's Inc Common Stock among their largest holdings, by weight.

  • XRT · SPDR S&P Retail ETF1.5% of the fund
  • AVUV · Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF0.8% of the fund
Holdings as of 2026-10-24

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$23.60
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$27.65$31.24$22.74
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$31.24$30.54$22.67
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$23.00first publication$22.79
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$30.54$25.64$22.73
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$25.64$25.96$22.73
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$25.96$26.28$22.64
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$26.28$25.80$22.78
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$25.80$26.34$21.64
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$26.34$31.22$22.58

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth55Value94Quality56Momentum83Total72
Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.6x
Forward P/E
9.4x
PEG
0.09
P/B
1.18x
EV / Revenue
0.4x
Book value/sh
$18.87
Enterprise value
$9.6B
Profitability
ROE
16.0%
FCF yield
16.74%
ROIC
5.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.07
Dividend yield
3.19%
Beta
1.47

Price

+28.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about M

Answered from Macy's Inc Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 80% of peers
low 7.4x8.6xhigh 32.4x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -2%16%high 16%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 1.3%3.2%high 3.2%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
M Macy's Inc Common Stock$24.10$2813% below8.6x16.0%5672
9005.T Tokyu Corporation¥1613.50--9.5x-3856
LIVEPOLC-1.MX El Puerto de LiverpoolMXN 102.58MXN 19648% below7.4x10.6%6367
CENCOSUD.SN CencosudCLP 1852.00--32.4x4.6%3833
3099.T Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd.¥1780.50--15.8x-8576
3086.T J. Front Retailing Co., Ltd.¥2776.00--25.1x6.4%6353
8233.T Takashimaya Company, Limited¥2080.00----2.3%4351

Sector report card

Where M ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
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3 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 23
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-23
View on SEC →
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 10
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-08-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR