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LIVEPOLC-1.MX
ACCE-researched

El Puerto de Liverpool (LIVEPOLC-1.MX) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores · BMV · Mexico
MXN 102.58+0.35%
Market cap MXN 137.7BNext earnings 2026-10-26Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 48% below our fair value
Price
MXN 102.58
Model fair valueConfidence: good
MXN 196
Model range
MXN 122 to MXN 268
Fair value MXN 196
Price MXN 103
3 models fit El Puerto de Liverpool and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is below every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large discount(i)Silver78
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionEl Puerto de Liverpool (LIVEPOLC-1.MX)
Fair value (3 models)
MXN 196
ACCE price target
MXN 119
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously MXN 200 since 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: MXN 103 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 23:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
47.5% below
+90.6% to fair value
ACCE score
67
out of 100
P/E
7.4x
forward 6.4x
1-year return
+19.3%
Dividend yield
2.89%

El Puerto de Liverpool in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

El Puerto de Liverpool runs a Mexican department store chain and a large real estate portfolio of shopping malls, which gives it a rare combination of retail operations and recurring rental income under one roof. At a trailing P/E of 7.5 and a forward P/E of 6.1 on a 138.8B MXN market cap, the stock trades well below what most consumer and retail names command, and the implied earnings growth in the forward multiple is worth testing. The data we have does not include revenue growth, ROE or margins, so the first task is to pull those and confirm the earnings base behind the multiple before anything else. The discount may reflect Mexican market risk, peso exposure, or a weak consumer backdrop, and each of those needs checking against the company's own disclosures. The name is not in any index in our dataset, which may keep it under-owned by institutions and is worth a deeper look.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-16 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Liverpool trades at a trailing P/E of 7.5x, a low multiple for a company with a recognised department store brand.
  • The forward P/E of 6.1x implies earnings are expected to rise, making the stock look cheap on next-year estimates.
  • A dividend yield of 2.9% at MXN 103.40 gives income investors a cash return while they wait for the valuation to re-rate.
Why it could disappoint
  • A forward multiple of 6.1x rests entirely on earnings forecasts that could fall if Mexican consumer spending weakens.
  • Store credit is a large profit driver, so rising card delinquencies could erode earnings and undermine the low P/E.
  • Without margin, free cash flow or leverage figures, the earnings behind a 7.5x trailing P/E cannot be checked.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 26, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where LIVEPOLC-1.MX's valuation models land
Price
MXN 102.58
Model fair value
MXN 196
Model range
MXN 122 to MXN 268
Fair value MXN 196
Price MXN 103
The price is below the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

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  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
-0.8%
1 month
-2.9%
3 months
+2.1%
6 months
-3.6%
YTD
+2.6%
1 year
+19.3%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair valueMXN 196MXN 200MXN 103
24 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publicationMXN 103
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair valueMXN 200first publicationMXN 103
17 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price targetMXN 119first publicationMXN 103

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in MXN. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth55Value95Quality63Momentum54Total67
Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.4x
Forward P/E
6.4x
PEG
0.98
P/B
0.77x
EV / Revenue
0.7x
Book value/sh
MXN 134.84
Enterprise value
MXN 182.1B
Profitability
ROE
10.6%
FCF yield
6.72%
ROIC
6.4%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.23
Dividend yield
2.89%
Beta
0.34

Price

+18.5% · 1Y

Ask anything about LIVEPOLC-1.MX

Answered from El Puerto de Liverpool fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 7.4x7.4xhigh 34.7x
ROEbetter than 60% of peers
low 5%11%high 34%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.2%2.9%high 3.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
LIVEPOLC-1.MX El Puerto de LiverpoolMXN 102.58MXN 19648% below7.4x10.6%6367
M Macy's Inc Common Stock$24.10$2813% below8.9x16.0%5672
9005.T Tokyu Corporation¥1613.50--9.4x-3856
CENCOSUD.SN CencosudCLP 1852.00--32.4x4.6%3833
DDS Dillard's Inc. Common Stock$695.68$46948% above15.4x33.8%7466
MKS.L Marks and Spencer Group plc£4.16£43% above34.7x7.8%3871
3086.T J. Front Retailing Co., Ltd.¥2776.00--25.1x6.4%6353

Sector report card

Where LIVEPOLC-1.MX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…