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YSS

York Space Systems Inc. Common Stock (YSS) fair value

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NYSE · United States
$6.31+3.44%
Market cap $838MNext earnings 2026-11-12Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 87% above our fair value
Price
$6.31
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $3.38
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps, Analyst consensus, and Net cash floor.
ACCE opinionYork Space Systems Inc. Common Stock (YSS)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$6.80
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $6.31 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus, Net cash floor, and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
25
out of 100
Analysts
36% buy
14 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 0.0x
Dividend yield
0.00%

York Space Systems Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

York Space Systems builds small satellites and the spacecraft buses that carry them, selling mainly to government and defense customers who want satellites built in volume rather than one-off. The structural case rests on that government demand and on the shift toward proliferated constellations, where a standardized bus is worth more than a custom design. Revenue is growing 10.4%, but the business is still deeply unprofitable, with a 21.2% gross margin and an operating margin of -38.1%, and the 9.1% negative ROE shows shareholders are not yet being paid for the capital tied up in it. The score of 28/100 and the absence of any index membership reflect that weak profitability profile, so the name only merits a deeper look if the margin trajectory can be shown to improve from here.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Heavy insider selling
    Insiders sold $18.61M of stock across the last 10 disclosed transactions and bought $0.00M, a one-sided pattern worth weighing against the share price.
  • high
    Cash burn and losses
    Free cash flow was -$130.2M with an operating margin of -38.1% and net margin of -50.1%, so the business is consuming cash faster than it generates it.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest stands at 9.6% of shares, meaning a meaningful bearish bet is in place against the stock.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analysts' mean price target of $13.88 sits 119.9% above the current share price of $6.31.
  • Revenue grew 27.3% a year on average over five years, and was still rising 10.4% year over year.
  • Debt is modest at 0.17 times equity, so the balance sheet is not the immediate constraint.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months was negative $130M, so the business is burning cash rather than generating it.
  • The latest quarterly loss missed expectations by 63.2%, with earnings per share of -0.31 against -0.19 expected.
  • Shareholders are being diluted, with the diluted share count up 18.3% last fiscal year, and net margin is -50.1%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 12, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where YSS's valuation models land
Price
$6.31
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $3.38
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Net cash floor
Sales comps
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish36% buy · 14 covering analysts
● Strong buy 4● Buy 1● Hold 9● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
0 buys · 6 sells
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+13.1%
1 month
-34.3%
3 months
-63.0%
6 months
-79.7%
YTD
no data
1 year
no data

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$6.80first publication$7.11

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth40Value11Quality35Momentum15Total25
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
0.61x
EV / Revenue
3.7x
Book value/sh
$13.50
Enterprise value
$1.5B
Profitability
ROE
-9.1%
FCF yield
-15.54%
ROIC
-5.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.17
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
no data

Price

-81.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about YSS

Answered from York Space Systems Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 71.6x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -9%-9%high 29%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
YSS York Space Systems Inc. Common Stock$6.31----9.1%3525
COCHINSHIP.NS Cochin Shipyard Limited₹1139.90--44.1x-7534
BDL.NS Bharat Dynamics Limited₹1017.50--71.6x-8053
MAZDOCK.NS Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited₹1860.00--27.1x28.8%8449
BWXT BWX Technologies Inc. Common Stock$127.19$9534% above33.0x28.3%6047
EMBJ Embraer S.A. Common Stock$70.84$6312% above28.7x12.2%5767
TXT Textron Inc. Common Stock$76.83$9317% below14.5x12.1%6050

Sector report card

Where YSS ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 12, 2026
    York Space Systems Awarded Two Space Force Space Data Network Task Orders
  • Business Wire•Oct 8, 2026
    York Space Systems Expands Austin Presence with New Office
  • Business Wire•Oct 5, 2026
    York Space Systems Expands into GEO to Support Space Domain Awareness Missions
11 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
32 filings
August 2026
Aug 14
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Aug 13
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-13
View on SEC →
Aug 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
29 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR