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WWD
ACCE-researched

Woodward Inc. Common Stock (WWD) fair value

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NASDAQ · United States
$303.55-0.43%
Market cap $18.0BNext earnings 2026-11-23Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 114% above our fair value
Price
$303.55
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$142
Model range
$83.87 to $251
Fair value $142
Price $304
4 models fit Woodward Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 4 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze40
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionWoodward Inc. Common Stock (WWD)
Fair value (4 models)
$142
ACCE price target
$301
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $156 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $335 since 25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $304 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Graham number.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
114.3% above
-53.3% to fair value
ACCE score
61
out of 100
Analysts
77% buy
13 covering
P/E
36.2x
forward 31.6x
1-year return
+15.1%
Dividend yield
0.30%

Woodward Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Woodward makes flight control actuators, fuel and combustion systems for commercial and military aircraft engines, and industrial turbine controls, selling much of it into long-lived OEM platform programs where its parts are designed in years before first delivery. That installed-base position is the core of the moat: once a controls architecture is certified on an engine family, replacement and aftermarket revenue tends to follow for the life of that platform. Revenue grew 21.2% over the last year, with ROE of 22.3% and an operating margin of 17.8%, which together suggest the growth is converting into profit rather than just volume. The stock trades at 37.0x trailing and 31.0x forward earnings, so the market is already pricing in continued execution, and the question for a deeper look is whether commercial aerospace build rates and aftermarket demand can keep the growth rate above that multiple. We would want to see gross margin, currently 29.6%, holding up as the mix shifts across programs before drawing a firm conclusion.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Valuation premium to model
    Forward P/E 31.6 suggests limited margin of safety.
  • high
    Score deterioration and value weakness
    ACCE score fell 6 points to 65 in 90 days. Value component (V:38) is weak relative to Growth (G:88), signaling overvaluation relative to fundamentals.
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    Last 10 disclosures show $10.19M in sales, zero buys. Insiders reducing exposure while stock trades near model fair value.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth deceleration risk
    QoQ revenue growth +1.8% trails YoY +21.2%. Sequential slowdown warrants monitoring given high valuation multiple.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 21.2% year over year while net margin expanded to 13.2%, showing strong operational leverage.
  • Return on equity of 22.3% and ROIC of 11.0% demonstrate the company deploys capital efficiently.
  • Analyst consensus rates 77% of coverage as Buy or Strong Buy with mean target 29.3% above current price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow yield of only 1.7% on $340M annual cash generation leaves little margin for error.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 23, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WWD's valuation models land
Price
$303.55
Model fair value
$142
Model range
$83.87 to $251
Fair value $142
Price $304
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish77% buy · 13 covering analysts
● Strong buy 9● Buy 1● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-7.6%
1 month
-7.0%
3 months
-27.6%
6 months
-16.8%
YTD
+0.4%
1 year
+15.1%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$328
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$142$156$328
18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$301$335$328
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$156$159$333
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$159$164$336
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$164$157$332
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$335first publication$326
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$157$155$326
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$155$157$337
12 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$157$156$333

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth88Value38Quality80Momentum39Total61
Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.2x
Forward P/E
31.6x
PEG
2.11
P/B
7.79x
EV / Revenue
4.8x
Book value/sh
$41.77
Enterprise value
$20.1B
Profitability
ROE
22.3%
FCF yield
1.77%
ROIC
11.0%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.28
Dividend yield
0.30%
Beta
0.86

Price

+14.2% · 1Y

Ask anything about WWD

Answered from Woodward Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 13.5x36.2xhigh 36.2x
ROEbetter than 50% of peers
low 12%22%high 174%
Div yieldbetter than 50% of peers
low 0.0%0.3%high 1.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WWD Woodward Inc. Common Stock$303.55$142114% above36.2x22.3%8061
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation Common Stock$474.28$232105% above32.7x19.8%7647
MTX.DE MTU Aero Engines€332.80€26526% above18.4x22.6%6557
FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. Common Stock$157.50$12625% above34.2x174.5%6749
CSG.AS CSG N.V.€13.83€143% below13.5x44.4%7552
TXT Textron Inc. Common Stock$78.04$9316% below14.5x12.1%6050
EMBJ Embraer S.A. Common Stock$69.21$639% above28.7x12.2%5767

Sector report card

Where WWD ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 16, 2026
    UPDATE - Woodward Appoints Paxton McVoy as Chief Information Officer
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 16, 2026
    Woodward Appoints Paxton McVoy as Chief Information Officer
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 7, 2026
    Woodward to Provide Actuation System for Aircraft Folding Wing Demonstrator
5 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-03
View on SEC →
Oct 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-03
View on SEC →
Oct 6
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-03
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR