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WTFC

Wintrust Financial Corporation Common Stock (WTFC) fair value

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · NASDAQ · United States
$150.77+0.68%
Market cap $10.1BNext earnings 2026-10-19Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$150.77
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$157
Model range
$143 to $173
Fair value $157
Price $151
3 models fit Wintrust Financial Corporation Common Stock and they agree: 3 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze52
Valued as a bank: Residual income, P/E comparison, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionWintrust Financial Corporation Common Stock (WTFC)
Fair value (3 models)
$157
ACCE price target
$162
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST; previously $152 since 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $152 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 17:05 CEST.
Price used: $151 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison, Graham number, and Residual income.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
3.8% below
+4.0% to fair value
ACCE score
70
out of 100
Analysts
63% buy
16 covering
P/E
11.3x
forward 10.9x
1-year return
+19.6%
Dividend yield
1.46%

Wintrust Financial Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Wintrust Financial is a Chicago-based regional bank holding company whose core products are commercial and retail deposits and loans, plus a sizeable niche in specialty lending (premium finance, equipment and asset-based lending) and wealth management through its trust and investment arm. Its edge is a decentralized, community-bank structure: a federation of local bank subsidiaries that keep local decision-making while sharing a common platform, which has let it grow its footprint across the Chicago metro area and Wisconsin without the cost base of a money-center bank. The near-term driver is loan growth into a stable rate environment, with revenue up 8.4% and an ROE of 12.9%, and a P/E of 11.5 against a forward P/E of 10.6, which implies the market expects earnings to rise modestly rather than sharply. At roughly $10.1 billion in market cap, the stock sits in a range where it has not yet drawn index-level institutional attention (no index memberships), which may be part of why the multiple is undemanding. The score of 70/100 justifies a deeper look at credit quality, deposit costs and net interest margin trends, which are the variables that will decide whether that discount is earned.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Score slipping over 90 days
    ACCE score fell from 76 to 68 over 90 days, with the margin sub-score at 47 and the growth sub-score at 68. Worth tracking whether the drift continues.
  • moderate
    Insider selling, no buying
    Insiders disclosed $2.41M in sales across the last 10 filings and no purchases. Small against a $9.7B market cap, but one-directional.
  • moderate
    Flat quarter-on-quarter revenue
    Revenue was down 0.2% quarter-on-quarter despite 10.2% year-on-year growth, suggesting the pace of expansion may be slowing.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 17, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Trailing free cash flow reached $860M over the last twelve months, a yield of 9.0% at the current price.
  • Last quarter's earnings per share of 3.30 beat the 3.15 expected, a surprise of 4.8%.
  • Analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy make up 60% (9 of 15), and their mean target sits 22.2% above the price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity of 12.2% and return on invested capital of 5.8% are modest for a company of this size.
  • Diluted share count rose 4.6% last fiscal year, which dilutes existing holders' claim on earnings.
  • Year-over-year revenue growth slowed to 10.2%, well below the 17.4% average per year over five years.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WTFC's valuation models land
Price
$150.77
Model fair value
$157
Model range
$143 to $173
Fair value $157
Price $151
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Graham number
P/E comparison
Residual income
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish63% buy · 16 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 4● Hold 6● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+4.6%
1 month
+4.9%
3 months
-5.0%
6 months
+1.9%
YTD
+7.8%
1 year
+19.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTFair value$157$152$150
23 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$162$152$150
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$152$150$146
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTFair value$150$151$142
19 Oct 2026, 17:05 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$144
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$152first publication$144
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$151$155$144
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$155$157$148
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$157$159$151
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$159$254$153

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value71Quality86Momentum54Total70
Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.3x
Forward P/E
10.9x
PEG
0.53
P/B
1.45x
EV / Revenue
5.3x
Book value/sh
$101.75
Enterprise value
$10.7B
Profitability
ROE
12.9%
FCF yield
8.52%
ROIC
5.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.62
Dividend yield
1.46%
Beta
0.89

Price

+16.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about WTFC

Answered from Wintrust Financial Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 8.7x11.3xhigh 37.4x
ROEbetter than 80% of peers
low 3%13%high 16%
Div yieldbetter than 0% of peers
low 1.5%1.5%high 3.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corporation Common Stock$150.77$1574% below11.3x12.9%8670
8331.T The Chiba Bank, Ltd.¥2371.50¥148660% above17.0x8.3%6180
8421.T Shinkin Central Bank¥187900.00--37.4x2.9%5549
5831.T Shizuoka Financial Group,Inc.¥2894.00¥201544% above15.7x8.2%6172
7186.T Yokohama Financial Group, Inc.¥1611.50¥111045% above16.9x-7173
7167.T Mebuki Financial Group,Inc.¥1445.00--14.4x9.2%6173
INDIANB.NS Indian Bank₹837.15--8.7x16.1%6869

Sector report card

Where WTFC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 30, 2026
    Wintrust Financial Corporation Announces Third Quarter and Year-to-Date 2026 Earnings Release Schedule
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 23, 2026
    Wintrust Financial Corporation Announces Cash Dividends
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 20, 2026
    Wintrust Financial Corporation Reports Record Net Income
1 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 23
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-22
View on SEC →
Oct 19
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-19
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 30
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR