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WEN

Wendy's Company (The) Common Stock (WEN) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NASDAQ · United States
$6.22-5.33%
Market cap $1.2BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$6.22
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$6.12
Model range
$3.71 to $8.90
Fair value $6.12
Price $6.22
3 models fit Wendy's Company (The) Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Bronze56
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionWendy's Company (The) Common Stock (WEN)
Fair value (3 models)
$6.12
ACCE price target
$6.75
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $5.93 since 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $6.22 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
1.6% above
-1.6% to fair value
ACCE score
48
out of 100
Analysts
13% buy
24 covering
P/E
9.4x
forward 12.8x
1-year return
-31.0%
Dividend yield
4.27%

Wendy's Company (The) Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Wendy's runs the namesake burger chain, a franchise-heavy system where the large majority of its restaurants are owned by independent operators who pay royalties and rent back to the parent. That asset-light model is the core of the case: it produces a 14.3% operating margin and a 108% ROE on a business with only 1.7% revenue growth, a combination that points to a capital structure doing much of the work. The near-term catalysts are margin recovery and the company's ongoing push on value menus, digital ordering and loyalty to lift same-store sales, though the revenue line shows little sign of accelerating yet. At 10.2 times trailing and 12.4 times forward earnings, the stock is priced for limited growth, so the question for a deeper look is whether the franchise royalty stream is durable enough to justify that multiple, and whether the 48/100 score reflects balance-sheet leverage that a sharper pair of eyes would discount. It is not a name with index membership and a composite score of 48 sits in the lower half of our screen, so the work is worth doing only if the cash flow quality checks out.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Short interest very elevated
    Short interest is 35.8% of ownership, which means heavy bearish positioning and potential for sharp swings on any news.
  • high
    Earnings sharply declining
    Earnings fell 40.8% year over year while revenue grew only 1.7%, showing margin erosion despite a 14.3% operating margin.
  • moderate
    Leveraged balance sheet
    Debt to equity of 35.31 signals a heavily leveraged capital structure, which amplifies downside if cash flow weakens.
  • moderate
    Score deteriorating over 90 days
    The ACCE score fell 7 points from 55 to 48 over 90 days, with growth at 19 and momentum at 25.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $243M, and the stock's free cash flow yield is 19.0%.
  • Shares outstanding fell 5.6% last fiscal year, so each remaining share now carries a larger slice of the business.
  • Earnings beat expectations by 12.5% in the latest quarter, with EPS of 0.18 against 0.16 expected.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue grew only 1.7% year over year, well below the 4.7% five-year average, showing the top line is slowing.
  • Return on invested capital is just 3.2%, which is thin for a business carrying debt-to-equity of 35.31.
  • Consensus fair value of $6.12 sits 1.6% below the share price, and the market's model fair value gap signals limited upside.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WEN's valuation models land
Price
$6.22
Model fair value
$6.12
Model range
$3.71 to $8.90
Fair value $6.12
Price $6.22
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish13% buy · 24 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 0● Hold 16● Sell 2● Strong sell 3
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-7.2%
1 month
-7.6%
3 months
-11.0%
6 months
-12.9%
YTD
-25.3%
1 year
-31.0%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$6.70
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$6.12$5.93$6.70
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$5.93$9.08$6.31
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$6.75first publication$6.23
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$9.08$10.61$6.22
2 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.61$10.85$6.38
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.85$10.72$6.55
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.72$11.01$6.51
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$11.01$10.89$6.81
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$10.89$11.53$7.03

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth19Value91Quality57Momentum25Total48
Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.4x
Forward P/E
12.8x
PEG
no data
P/B
10.79x
EV / Revenue
2.3x
Book value/sh
$0.63
Enterprise value
$5.0B
Profitability
ROE
108.0%
FCF yield
20.26%
ROIC
3.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
35.31
Dividend yield
4.27%
Beta
0.41

Price

-30.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about WEN

Answered from Wendy's Company (The) Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0x9.4xhigh 109.1x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -5%108%high 108%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%4.3%high 5.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WEN Wendy's Company (The) Common Stock$6.22$62% above9.4x108.0%5748
SG Sweetgreen Inc. Class A Common Stock$10.22$119% below109.1x3.1%2950
BJRI BJ's Restaurants Inc. Common Stock$58.79--32.5x10.4%4356
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock$395.33$149165% above--5.3%4046
JDW.L J D Wetherspoon plc£10.19£910% above18.3x17.3%3568
DOM.L Domino's Pizza Group plc£2.17£26% above14.5x0.0%4460
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc Common Stock$67.31$31115% above48.3x6.7%3355

Sector report card

Where WEN ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 19, 2026
    Fresh Beef, Fresh Deal: Wendy's Debuts the $7.99 Dave's Single® Combo Meal
  • PR Newswire•Oct 8, 2026
    The Wendy's Company to Report Third Quarter 2026 Results on November 5
  • Business Wire•Sep 29, 2026
    Braze Announces 2026 Torchie Award Winners Recognizing the Marketers Who Were ‘Made for This’ Moment
7 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-29
View on SEC →
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-29
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR