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BH

Biglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock (BH) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NYSE · United States
$396.19+0.22%
Market cap $1.3BNext earnings 2026-11-06Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 166% above our fair value
Price
$396.19
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$149
Model range
$148 to $150
Fair value $149
Price $396
2 models fit Biglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock and they agree: 2 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze57
Valued as a cyclical company: EV/EBITDA comparison and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionBiglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock (BH)
Fair value (2 models)
$149
ACCE price target
$365
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST; previously $179 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $396 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
165.7% above
-62.4% to fair value
ACCE score
46
out of 100
P/E
0.0x
forward 10.6x
1-year return
+6.3%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Biglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Biglari Holdings owns Steak n Shake, the burger and milkshake chain, along with Western Sizzlin, Maxim's and Southern Oil, and it holds a stake in Biglari Capital's investment portfolio. The company's advantage is its controlled, capital-allocation-first structure under Sardar Biglari, which has consistently pushed for buybacks and reinvestment over empire building, though the restaurant operations are a low-margin, competitive business. Revenue grew 7.9% and operating margin sits at 7.7%, but gross margin of 39.1% and a negative ROE of -5.3% show the earnings base is thin and the balance sheet is not generating returns yet. The forward P/E of 10.6 against a trailing P/E of zero suggests earnings are recovering from a weak base, so the question is whether Steak n Shake's same-store traffic and margin repair can carry that recovery. With a 47/100 score and no index membership, the name clears the bar for a deeper look mainly on the capital allocation record and on whether the forward earnings estimate holds up under scrutiny.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings falling despite revenue growth
    Revenue rose 7.9% year on year, but earnings fell 18.7%, and net margin is -7.3% with ROE at -5.3%. Profit is moving the wrong way.
  • moderate
    Revenue shrinking over five years
    The five-year revenue CAGR is -1.8%, so the 7.9% recent gain sits on a longer record of decline.
  • moderate
    Price well above model fair value
    The stock trades 165.7% above the model fair value of $149.11, and 8.5% above the ACCE price target of $365.00.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 21, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 7.9% year over year in the latest 10-Q, a sign the restaurant and insurance businesses are not shrinking.
  • Free cash flow of $77M over the last twelve months gives the business real cash generation despite weak reported earnings.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $500.00 sits 20.7% above the current share price, suggesting some professionals see upside.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin of -7.3% and return on equity of -5.3% show the core operations are not currently earning a profit.
  • Model fair value of $149.11 sits well below the $396.19 share price, with the price trading 165.7% above the model fair value.
  • The diluted share count rose 121.7% last fiscal year, so each shareholder's slice of the company has been heavily diluted.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 6, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BH's valuation models land
Price
$396.19
Model fair value
$149
Model range
$148 to $150
Fair value $149
Price $396
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

No analyst coverage yet.
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-8.7%
1 month
+14.2%
3 months
+3.9%
6 months
+28.1%
YTD
+19.2%
1 year
+6.3%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$450
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTFair value$149$179$450
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$179$99.91$388
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$365first publication$364
6 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$99.91$102$364
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$102$101$364
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$101$102$345
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$102$100$346
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$100$106$365
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$106$105$364

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value31Quality40Momentum83Total46
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
10.6x
PEG
-12.63
P/B
2.03x
EV / Revenue
2.8x
Book value/sh
$866.17
Enterprise value
$1.1B
Profitability
ROE
-5.3%
FCF yield
6.09%
ROIC
-3.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.69
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.51

Price

+5.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about BH

Answered from Biglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 109.1x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low -5%-5%high 108%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock$396.19$149166% above--5.3%4046
JDW.L J D Wetherspoon plc£10.19£910% above18.3x17.3%3568
BJRI BJ's Restaurants Inc. Common Stock$58.79--32.5x10.4%4356
WEN Wendy's Company (The) Common Stock$6.57$67% above9.4x108.0%5748
SG Sweetgreen Inc. Class A Common Stock$10.22$119% below109.1x3.1%2950
DOM.L Domino's Pizza Group plc£2.17£26% above14.5x0.0%4460
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc Common Stock$67.31$31115% above48.3x6.7%3355

Sector report card

Where BH ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Aug 7, 2026
    BIGLARI HOLDINGS INC. NEWS RELEASE
  • PR Newswire•May 8, 2026
    Biglari Holdings Inc. News Release
32 filings of 40
October 2026
Oct 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-16
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-07
View on SEC →
Aug 7
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-07
View on SEC →
29 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR