AACCE Investments
ScreenerStocksIndicesPicksETFsBlogPricing

© 2026 ACCE Investments. All rights reserved.

ACCE Investments - Institutional-grade stock research for retail investors | BetaList
IndicesStocksETFsScreenerBlogGlossaryCompareMarket dataAdvisors
TermsPrivacyCookiesDisclaimerLegal noticeProfessional termsAboutContact
BJRI

BJ's Restaurants Inc. Common Stock (BJRI) fair value

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NASDAQ · United States
$56.51-3.88%
Market cap $1.3BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 95% above our fair value
Price
$56.51
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$28.91
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a cyclical company: P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Discounted cash flow, and Graham number.
ACCE opinionBJ's Restaurants Inc. Common Stock (BJRI)
Fair value (4 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$60.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $56.51 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
56
out of 100
Analysts
56% buy
9 covering
P/E
32.5x
forward 23.8x
1-year return
+72.9%
Dividend yield
0.00%

BJ's Restaurants Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

BJ's Restaurants runs the BJ's Restaurants and Brewhouse chain, a casual dining concept built around its in-house brewed beers, deep-dish pizza and a large mixed-dining menu across dozens of US states. The advantage is that the brewing and kitchen format is hard to copy quickly, and a lower-cost, high-volume unit economics model supports the business as it grows. Revenue growth of 6.4% gives the company room to add restaurants and lift same-store sales without relying on a single product. The stock trades at 32.2 times trailing earnings but 23.8 times forward earnings, which implies the market expects a meaningful step-up in profit. With a 5.0% operating margin and a 10.4% return on equity, the margin of safety is thin, so the case rests on whether that earnings recovery actually arrives.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Earnings declining despite revenue growth
    Revenue grew 6.4% YoY but earnings fell 11.3%, so the 2.9% net margin is being squeezed rather than expanding with sales.
  • moderate
    Leveraged balance sheet
    Debt/Equity of 1.34 against $41M of free cash flow leaves limited room to absorb a downturn in restaurant traffic.
  • moderate
    Insider selling outweighs buying
    Last 10 disclosed insider transactions show $4.65M in sales against $0.11M in buys.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 19, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 6.4% over the last year, and the company has averaged 12.4% growth per year over five years.
  • Latest earnings beat expectations, with earnings per share of 0.94 against 0.87 expected, an 8.0% surprise.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is only 2.9% and return on invested capital is 4.7%, thin returns for the capital the business uses.
  • Debt is 1.34 times equity, and free cash flow of $41M over twelve months is small against that borrowing.
  • At 31.8 times trailing earnings and 21.8 times forward earnings, the stock sits above the sector median forward P/E of 18.1 times.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where BJRI's valuation models land
Price
$56.51
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$28.91
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
Create a free account: 5 full stock pages a month, no card.

See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed56% buy · 9 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 0● Hold 4● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-4.8%
1 month
-8.2%
3 months
-15.5%
6 months
+48.0%
YTD
+43.4%
1 year
+72.9%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$60.00first publication$59.87
9 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$41.79$42.34$59.32
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$42.34$43.02$59.56
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$43.02$43.96$60.78
13 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$43.96$44.92$60.78
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$44.92$44.07$61.08
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$44.07$43.37$59.89
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$43.37$44.59$58.82
2 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$44.59$45.33$63.59
30 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$45.33$45.96$65.12

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

Get the full BJRI page, free

Every model, the scenarios, fair value history, AI notes and the four questions. 5 full stock pages every month on the free plan, no card.

Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the full page.

Snapshot

Growth28Value55Quality43Momentum97Total56
Valuation
Trailing P/E
32.5x
Forward P/E
23.8x
PEG
1.70
P/B
3.29x
EV / Revenue
1.2x
Book value/sh
$18.76
Enterprise value
$1.7B
Profitability
ROE
10.4%
FCF yield
3.27%
ROIC
4.7%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.34
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.33

Price

+71.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about BJRI

Answered from BJ's Restaurants Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0x32.5xhigh 109.1x
ROEbetter than 67% of peers
low -5%10%high 108%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 5.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
BJRI BJ's Restaurants Inc. Common Stock$56.51--32.5x10.4%4356
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. Class B Common Stock$395.33$149165% above--5.3%4046
JDW.L J D Wetherspoon plc£10.19£910% above18.3x17.3%3568
WEN Wendy's Company (The) Common Stock$6.57$67% above9.4x108.0%5748
SG Sweetgreen Inc. Class A Common Stock$10.22$119% below109.1x3.1%2950
DOM.L Domino's Pizza Group plc£2.17£26% above14.5x0.0%4460
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc Common Stock$67.31$31115% above48.3x6.7%3355

Sector report card

Where BJRI ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 9, 2026
    BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. Appoints Christopher W. Brandt and James D. White to its Board of Directors
  • GlobeNewswire•Aug 25, 2026
    BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. to Participate at the 19th Annual Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference
  • GlobeNewswire•Jun 15, 2026
    Monika Saxena Named Brand President of BJ’s Restaurants, Inc.
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 16
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR