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VNO

Vornado Realty Trust Common Stock (VNO) fair value

Real Estate · REIT - Office · NYSE · United States
$34.80+1.34%
Market cap $6.8BNext earnings 2026-11-02Updated Oct 24, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 11% below our fair value
Price
$34.80
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $39.23
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Treated as a REIT (property company). None of the usual models had enough data, so this uses Analyst consensus instead.
ACCE opinionVornado Realty Trust Common Stock (VNO)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$32.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $34.80 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
45
out of 100
Analysts
31% buy
13 covering
P/E
858.5x
forward 57.1x
1-year return
-11.5%
Dividend yield
2.25%

Vornado Realty Trust Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Vornado owns and operates Manhattan office towers and a large retail-on-street portfolio concentrated in New York, including Midtown and Penn District assets, and it is one of the few REITs with a scaled, high-quality trophy office footprint in the city. Its edge is location and asset quality in a supply-constrained submarket, though that moat has been tested by the post-2020 shift to hybrid work and tenants consolidating into newer buildings. Reported revenue growth of 5.0% and a 9.8% operating margin are modest, and near-zero ROE (0.6%) with a trailing P/E above 800 reflects depressed GAAP earnings rather than a cheap stock, so any case rests on occupancy recovery and asset sales or redevelopment cash flows rather than current profitability. The forward P/E of 147 implies a sharp earnings rebound that the company has yet to show, which makes this a name worth a deeper look only if the work confirms that leasing momentum and funds-from-operations are inflecting. With a 48/100 score and no index membership, the screen is not flagging it as a high-conviction idea, so the burden of proof sits with the diligence.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse and thin ROE
    Earnings are down 97.8% year on year and ROE is just +0.6%, while P/E sits at 845. The stock is priced on forward expectations, not current profits.
  • moderate
    Leverage and short interest
    Debt/Equity is 1.32 and short interest is 8.5%. Both add downside sensitivity if office occupancy or refinancing costs worsen.
  • moderate
    Score down 16 points in 90 days
    The ACCE score fell from 64 to 48 over 90 days, and the price of $33.80 sits above the $32.00 fair value estimate.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last 12 months reached $1.3B, a sizeable cash generator for a company of this kind.
  • The share count fell 2.5% last fiscal year, so each remaining share holds a slightly larger claim on the business.
  • Analysts' mean price target of $39.92 sits 18.1% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Return on equity is just 0.6%, so shareholders are earning almost nothing on the capital tied up in the company.
  • Debt to equity of 1.32 means borrowings outweigh shareholder capital, leaving the balance sheet exposed if rates or property values move against it.
  • Only 31% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, so most of the Street is not enthusiastic.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 2, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where VNO's valuation models land
Price
$34.80
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $39.23
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish31% buy · 13 covering analysts
● Strong buy 4● Buy 0● Hold 6● Sell 1● Strong sell 2
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+5.7%
1 month
+1.9%
3 months
-12.4%
6 months
+18.8%
YTD
+4.6%
1 year
-11.5%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$32.00first publication$33.81
9 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$25.45$81.35$33.78
20 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$81.35$70.80$37.75
1 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$70.80$71.64$39.48
2 Jul 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$71.64first publication$39.68

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value40Quality50Momentum63Total45
Valuation
Trailing P/E
858.5x
Forward P/E
57.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.39x
EV / Revenue
8.2x
Book value/sh
$24.66
Enterprise value
$15.0B
Profitability
ROE
0.6%
FCF yield
18.50%
ROIC
5.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.32
Dividend yield
2.25%
Beta
1.59

Price

-11.6% · 1Y

Ask anything about VNO

Answered from Vornado Realty Trust Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.0x858.5xhigh 858.5x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -4%1%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 1.9%2.3%high 8.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
VNO Vornado Realty Trust Common Stock$34.80--858.5x0.6%5045
8951.T Nippon Building Fund Inc.¥122200.00--24.4x5.9%7647
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. Common Stock$43.02----4.1%5142
MRL.MC Merlin Properties€11.25--7.6x9.9%8161
GFC.PA Gecina€63.90--29.3x1.6%7341
CUZ Cousins Properties Incorporated Common Stock$28.87--716.8x0.1%5964
KRC Kilroy Realty Corporation Common Stock$37.27$4720% below26.1x3.4%6444

Sector report card

Where VNO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 21, 2026
    Alexander’s Announces Second Quarter Earnings Release Date and Vornado Realty Trust Quarterly Conference Call
  • GlobeNewswire•Jul 21, 2026
    Vornado Announces Second Quarter Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Information
  • GlobeNewswire•May 12, 2026
    Vornado JV Completes $161 Million Refinancing of 61 Ninth Avenue
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 8
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-06
View on SEC →
Oct 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-29
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 3
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-03
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR