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ACCE-researched

Visa Inc. (V) fair value

Financial Services · Credit Services · NYSE · United States
$407.92-1.55%
Market cap $765.8BNext earnings 2026-10-27Updated Oct 18, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 140% above our fair value
Price
$407.92
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$170
Model range
$151 to $179
Fair value $170
Price $408
3 models fit Visa Inc. and they agree: 3 of 3 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver68
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionVisa Inc. (V)
Fair value (3 models)
$170
ACCE price target
$405
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST; previously $183 since 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $360 since 19 Apr 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CEST.
Price used: $408 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
139.8% above
-58.3% to fair value
ACCE score
71
out of 100
Analysts
90% buy
40 covering
P/E
34.7x
forward 27.2x
1-year return
+17.9%
Dividend yield
0.65%

Visa Inc. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Visa runs the global payments network that routes card transactions between issuing banks, acquirers and merchants, earning fees on each transaction through products such as Visa Credit, Visa Debit and its value-added services and cross-border tools. Its moat is the scale of that two-sided network, which makes it hard for merchants or banks to switch away from acceptance and issuance, and the company converts that position into a 66.1% operating margin. The near-term driver is continued shift from cash and cheques to card and digital payments, with revenue growing 14.4% and value-added services adding to the core transaction base. At 24.0x forward earnings against a trailing 34.0x, the market is pricing in meaningful earnings growth, and a 61.2% return on equity shows how little capital the model needs to compound. The question for a deeper look is whether that growth can hold as regulators and merchants push on interchange fees and as stablecoin and account-to-account rails compete for the same flows.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 2 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Earnings growth deceleration
    Earnings YoY growth of 10.2% trails revenue growth of 14.4%, indicating margin pressure or mix headwinds despite strong top-line momentum.
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    Last 10 disclosures show $12.50M in sales with zero buys, suggesting insiders are not accumulating at current valuations.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-09 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Visa generates a 50.8% net margin and 61.2% ROE, demonstrating pricing power and capital efficiency unmatched in financial services.
  • Revenue grew 14.4% year over year while the company returned capital through 3.1% share buybacks, compounding shareholder value.
  • Free cash flow of 20.4 billion dollars funds dividends and buybacks while maintaining a conservative 0.68 debt to equity ratio.
Why it could disappoint
  • The stock trades at 31.9x trailing earnings versus a 11.7x sector median, pricing in perpetual growth well above historical 10.9% trends.
  • Consensus fair value sits 52.5% below the current share price of 385.45 dollars, with only 3 of 5 models supporting current levels.
  • The implied perpetual cash flow growth of 7.7% falls below the 5.2% risk free rate, leaving minimal margin of safety.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 27, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where V's valuation models land
Price
$407.92
Model fair value
$170
Model range
$151 to $179
Fair value $170
Price $408
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish90% buy · 40 covering analysts
● Strong buy 27● Buy 9● Hold 3● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
1 buy · 2 sells
Since Apr 24, 2026, 3 members
Average delay
10 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

Compare V with another stock

MA vs VBAC vs VJPM vs V

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.3%
1 month
+12.8%
3 months
+14.7%
6 months
+31.8%
YTD
+16.3%
1 year
+17.9%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $V ACCE Score Jumps 25 Points to 71 - What Drove the Move
    Visa's ACCE composite score climbed from 46 to 71, a 25-point jump. Here's what the data behind $V suggests about the move.
    2026-05-18
  • $V Score Jumps 18 Points to 78 on ACCE Composite Rating
    Visa's ACCE composite score surged from 60 to 78, marking an 18-point gain that suggests improvements across multiple financial metrics.
    2026-05-07
  • Small-Cap Value Stocks Surge as Market Rotation Accelerates in April 2026
    Small-cap value stocks are outperforming as investors rotate from growth. Consumer cyclicals and financials lead gains amid changing market dynamics.
    2026-04-21

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$403
18 Oct 2026, 17:04 CESTFair value$170$183$403
14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$405$360$396
10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$183$209$375
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$209$202$361
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$202$197$367
25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$197$201$362
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$201$204$370
11 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$204$209$367
17 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$209$206$365

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth60Value36Quality96Momentum90Total71
Valuation
Trailing P/E
34.7x
Forward P/E
27.2x
PEG
3.40
P/B
19.58x
EV / Revenue
15.5x
Book value/sh
$18.87
Enterprise value
$689.3B
Profitability
ROE
61.2%
FCF yield
2.82%
ROIC
26.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.66
Dividend yield
0.65%
Beta
0.77

Member of

ACCE Smart Money

Price

+17.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about V

Answered from Visa Inc. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 7.8x34.7xhigh 34.7x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 9%61%high 241%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.7%high 1.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
V Visa Inc.$407.92$170140% above34.7x61.2%9671
MA Mastercard Incorporated Common Stock$633.21$263141% above34.2x241.2%8669
AXP American Express Company Common Stock$325.17$24533% above19.0x34.4%7959
COF Capital One Financial Corporation Common Stock$203.43$24617% below12.7x9.4%8167
BAJFINANCE.NS Bajaj Finance₹942.10--26.7x19.0%7764
PYPL PayPal Holdings Inc. Common Stock$57.54$8633% below10.8x24.5%8067
SYF Synchrony Financial Common Stock$75.09$12037% below7.8x20.8%8663

Sector report card

Where V ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 8, 2026
    Visa to Announce Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2026 Financial Results on October 27, 2026
  • PR Newswire•Oct 8, 2026
    Crossmint Launches Agent Commerce Toolkit, Enabling AI Agents to Pay With Any Card and Check Out Online Through One Integration
  • Business Wire•Oct 5, 2026
    Join Actress and Director Haylie Duff and Eight-Time Pro Bowler Patrick Peterson at The 3rd Annual Backyard Bash with The Signature SELECT Life
15 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
September 2026
Sep 23
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-18
View on SEC →
Sep 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-09
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR