Constellation Brands makes Modelo, Corona and Pacifico, which give it a dominant position in US imported beer, plus Modelo's own strong growth in Mexico. Its moat is brand strength and distribution scale in a category where shelf space and consumer loyalty are hard to replicate, and the operating margin of 32.5% and gross margin of 52.7% are well above what most beverage peers earn. Revenue is growing 6.1%, and the stock trades at 10.4 times forward earnings with a 24.0% return on equity, a combination that leaves room for the market to re-rate it if volumes hold. The question for a deeper look is whether a 21.4B market cap at roughly 11 times earnings reflects a temporary dip in beer demand or a lasting change in consumption, since the answer decides whether the discount is an opening or a warning.
Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.
See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.
The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.
The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.
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Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.
| Date | Type | New | Previous | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST | Rating | Fairly valued | first publication | $131 |
| 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | ACCE price target | $144 | $115 | $131 |
| 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $145 | $146 | $126 |
| 10 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $146 | $145 | $124 |
| 5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $145 | $146 | $113 |
| 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $146 | $150 | $114 |
| 25 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | ACCE price target | $115 | first publication | $117 |
| 19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $150 | $148 | $122 |
| 17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $148 | $150 | $124 |
| 15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST | Fair value | $150 | $155 | $122 |
Answered from Constellation Brands Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.
| Company | Price | Fair value | vs fair value | P/E | ROE | Quality | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STZ Constellation Brands Inc. Common Stock | $138.68 | $146 | 5% below | 12.4x | 24.0% | 82 | 64 |
| CARL-B.CO Carlsberg B | kr 980.60 | kr 906 | 8% above | 20.2x | 20.4% | 63 | 67 |
| 2502.T Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. | ¥1676.00 | - | - | 15.3x | 5.6% | 56 | 66 |
| 2503.T Kirin Holdings Company, Limited | ¥2940.00 | - | - | 12.1x | 15.1% | 68 | 77 |
| FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V. Common Stock | $129.03 | $71 | 81% above | 9.2x | 14.8% | 56 | 70 |
| HEIA.AS Heineken | €77.90 | €71 | 10% above | 18.9x | 12.1% | 59 | 67 |
| ABEV Ambev S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 1 Common Share) | $3.33 | $4 | 17% below | 17.5x | 18.4% | 84 | 77 |
Where STZ ranks against its sector peers on each metric.