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SO
ACCE-researched

Southern Company (The) Common Stock (SO) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NYSE · United States
$92.89-0.99%
Market cap $106.9BNext earnings 2026-11-05Updated Oct 19, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 37% above our fair value
Price
$92.89
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$67.60
Model range
$52.92 to $84.72
Fair value $67.60
Price $92.89
2 models fit Southern Company (The) Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Premium(i)Bronze48
Valued as a utility: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionSouthern Company (The) Common Stock (SO)
Fair value (2 models)
$67.60
ACCE price target
$86.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST; previously $69.98 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CEST.
Price used: $92.89 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
37.4% above
-27.2% to fair value
ACCE score
56
out of 100
Analysts
30% buy
23 covering
P/E
22.4x
forward 18.9x
1-year return
-3.4%
Dividend yield
3.24%

Southern Company (The) Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Southern Company operates regulated electric and gas utilities serving 9 million customers across Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Carolinas, plus a wholesale generation business. The company benefits from a captive customer base and cost-of-service regulation that allows it to recover capital investments and earn a regulated return, creating predictable cash flows. Growth hinges on capital deployment into grid modernization and renewable generation, with the company targeting $40 billion in cumulative capex through 2028. The forward PE of 17.5x is reasonable for a utility with mid-single-digit earnings growth, but the 0.1% revenue growth and 11.5% ROE suggest the business is mature and capital-constrained. The thesis works only if you believe Southern Company can execute its renewable build-out faster than peers and convince regulators to approve higher returns on that incremental investment, a bet that requires conviction on both execution and regulatory tailwinds that are not yet visible in the numbers.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 12, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF is -$3.9B despite $15.4% net margin and 48.3% gross margin. Unsustainable for dividend-paying utility; signals capital intensity or operational stress.
  • high
    Elevated leverage with weak growth
    Debt/Equity 1.82 combined with 0.1% revenue growth and -16.9% sequential decline. Limited deleveraging capacity if earnings revert.
  • moderate
    Insider selling pressure
    Last 10 disclosures show $0.86M in sales, zero buys. Modest but consistent exit signal from insiders.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Recent earnings beat consensus by 11.9%, suggesting management execution is outpacing market expectations.
  • Net margin of 15.4% and dividend yield of 3.5% provide stable income for long-term holders.
  • Forward P/E of 17.5x trades below the sector median of 19.8x, offering relative value.
Why it could disappoint
  • Negative free cash flow of -3.9B and -3.9% free cash flow yield raise sustainability questions about dividends and debt levels.
  • Debt to equity of 1.82 combined with near-zero revenue growth limits financial flexibility and return on invested capital of 3.3%.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 5, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where SO's valuation models land
Price
$92.89
Model fair value
$67.60
Model range
$52.92 to $84.72
Fair value $67.60
Price $92.89
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish30% buy · 23 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 1● Hold 14● Sell 0● Strong sell 2
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+1.9%
1 month
+11.3%
3 months
-4.5%
6 months
-0.6%
YTD
+6.5%
1 year
-3.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTFair value$67.60$69.98$91.18
19 Oct 2026, 19:04 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$91.18
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$69.98$74.57$88.11
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$74.57$71.47$86.17
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$71.47$72.95$82.88
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$72.95$74.14$86.76
18 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$86.00first publication$86.76
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$74.14$75.50$87.17
31 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$75.50$71.17$88.25
29 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$71.17$69.87$88.54

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth55Value54Quality64Momentum49Total56
Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.4x
Forward P/E
18.9x
PEG
0.74
P/B
2.43x
EV / Revenue
5.6x
Book value/sh
$34.40
Enterprise value
$170.1B
Profitability
ROE
11.5%
FCF yield
-2.72%
ROIC
3.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
2.06
Dividend yield
3.24%
Beta
0.30

Price

-3.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about SO

Answered from Southern Company (The) Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 14.8x22.4xhigh 22.6x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 8%11%high 12%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 0.0%3.2%high 4.3%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
SO Southern Company (The) Common Stock$92.89$6837% above22.4x11.5%6456
DUK Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) Common Stock$125.40$10322% above18.2x9.9%6452
NGG National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NEW) American Depositary Shares$82.64--18.8x8.4%7354
NG.L National Grid£12.24--18.8x8.4%7354
AEP American Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock$130.64$14610% below22.6x10.1%6053
NEE NextEra Energy Inc. Common Stock$81.90$6038% above14.8x11.7%7160
D Dominion Energy Inc. Common Stock$65.40$4449% above22.6x8.3%6457

Sector report card

Where SO ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 13, 2026
    Switched Source Secures Over $17 Million to Help Utilities Add Grid Capacity Faster
  • PR Newswire•Oct 9, 2026
    Ready to Respond: Alabama Power mobilizes crews and resources ahead of Hurricane Isaias
  • PR Newswire•Oct 9, 2026
    Georgia Power monitoring, prepared to respond to Hurricane Isaias impacts
12 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR