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AEP
ACCE-researched

American Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock (AEP) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NASDAQ · United States
$129.69-0.73%
Market cap $71.1BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 11% below our fair value
Price
$129.69
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$146
Model range
$86.56 to $243
Fair value $146
Price $130
3 models fit American Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)
Valued as a utility: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, and Discounted cash flow.
ACCE opinionAmerican Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock (AEP)
Fair value (3 models)
$146
ACCE price target
$129
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $174 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST; previously $151 since 8 May 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $130 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
10.9% below
+12.2% to fair value
ACCE score
53
out of 100
Analysts
61% buy
23 covering
P/E
22.6x
forward 17.2x
1-year return
+11.6%
Dividend yield
2.97%

American Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

American Electric Power owns and operates one of the largest transmission networks in the US and runs regulated distribution and generation utilities across roughly a dozen states, earning returns on the capital it deploys under state-approved rate cases. The structural case rests on that regulated rate base: as AEP spends on grid hardening and transmission to serve data center and industrial load growth, it can recover that capital with an authorized return, which gives the earnings stream a visible path. Revenue grew 7.0% over the last year, and the 17.2x forward P/E sits below the 21.5x trailing multiple, implying the market expects earnings to rise. Against that, ROE of 10.1% is modest for the sector and the 23.3% operating margin reflects a capital-heavy model where regulatory outcomes, not pricing power, drive returns. At a $67.7B market cap with no index membership, the name is worth a closer look mainly to test whether the rate base growth is converting into per-share earnings at an acceptable cost of equity.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse and score deterioration
    Earnings down 43.2% YoY; ACCE score fell 18 points in 90 days (65 to 47). Quality and momentum metrics weakened sharply.
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF is -$6.0B, a material cash drain. Utilities typically generate positive FCF; this signals capital intensity or operational stress.
  • moderate
    Elevated leverage and sequential decline
    Debt/Equity 1.61 is high for utilities. Revenue down 9.6% QoQ despite 7% YoY growth suggests recent momentum loss.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-11 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Consensus fair value is 44.7% above the current share price, with 3 of 4 valuation models supporting the upside.
  • Recent revenue growth of 7.0% year over year significantly outpaces the 5-year average of 3.8%, showing acceleration.
  • 57% of analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, with a mean price target implying 16.1% upside from current levels.
Why it could disappoint
  • Free cash flow is negative 6.0 billion dollars over the last 12 months, raising questions about capital allocation sustainability.
  • Return on invested capital of 3.7% falls well short of the 5.2% risk-free rate, destroying shareholder value.
  • Debt to equity of 1.61 leaves little room for error if interest rates remain elevated or regulatory headwinds emerge.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where AEP's valuation models land
Price
$129.69
Model fair value
$146
Model range
$86.56 to $243
Fair value $146
Price $130
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish61% buy · 23 covering analysts
● Strong buy 11● Buy 3● Hold 9● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
3 buys · 0 sells
Since Jun 5, 2026, 1 member
Average delay
7 days
From trade to public filing
Full trade list on ProDo politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.0%
1 month
+9.5%
3 months
-4.3%
6 months
-3.7%
YTD
+12.5%
1 year
+11.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$127
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$146$174$127
18 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$129$151$127
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$174$177$126
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$177$123$118
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$123$185$118
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$185$187$121
15 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$187$193$123
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$193$129$125
29 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$129$128$123

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth28Value69Quality60Momentum56Total53
Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.6x
Forward P/E
17.2x
PEG
2.00
P/B
2.01x
EV / Revenue
5.1x
Book value/sh
$58.93
Enterprise value
$117.4B
Profitability
ROE
10.1%
FCF yield
9.58%
ROIC
3.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.61
Dividend yield
2.97%
Beta
0.47

Price

+11.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about AEP

Answered from American Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 18.1x22.6xhigh 27.5x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 8%10%high 10%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 2.4%3.0%high 4.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
AEP American Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock$129.69$14611% below22.6x10.1%6053
NG.L National Grid£12.24--18.8x8.4%7354
NGG National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NEW) American Depositary Shares$82.64--18.8x8.4%7354
D Dominion Energy Inc. Common Stock$65.40$4449% above22.6x8.3%6457
DUK Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) Common Stock$125.40$10322% above18.1x9.9%6452
ETR Entergy Corporation Common Stock$108.19$8922% above27.5x10.3%6048
XEL Xcel Energy Inc. Common Stock$78.90--21.0x9.9%6550

Sector report card

Where AEP ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 5, 2026
    Kentucky Power, TeraWulf Finalize Expanded Agreement Providing for $100 Million in Customer Benefits
  • PR Newswire•Aug 26, 2026
    HOOSIERS EXPECTED TO SEE SAVINGS AS I&M ADVANCES ONE OF THE NATION'S LARGEST RATE REDUCTION PLANS
  • Business Wire•Jul 30, 2026
    Terrestrial Energy Appoints Senior Industry Executive Pamela Cowan as EVP of Engineering
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR