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D
ACCE-researched

Dominion Energy Inc. Common Stock (D) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NYSE · United States
$65.20-0.31%
Market cap $57.3BNext earnings 2026-10-30Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 49% above our fair value
Price
$65.20
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$43.84
Model range
$25.15 to $65.65
Fair value $43.84
Price $65.20
2 models fit Dominion Energy Inc. Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 2 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Bronze52
Valued as a utility: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionDominion Energy Inc. Common Stock (D)
Fair value (2 models)
$43.84
ACCE price target
$66.00
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $46.34 since 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $65.20 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
48.7% above
-32.8% to fair value
ACCE score
57
out of 100
Analysts
31% buy
16 covering
P/E
22.6x
forward 17.1x
1-year return
+7.4%
Dividend yield
4.08%

Dominion Energy Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Dominion Energy operates regulated electric and gas utilities serving 7.7 million customers across Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Utah, alongside a merchant power generation portfolio and renewable energy development business. The company benefits from rate-base growth tied to infrastructure investment requirements in its service territories, where aging grid assets and electrification demand create a structural need for capex. Near-term upside hinges on the Virginia Grid Transformation and Modernization Act, which allows accelerated cost recovery on grid hardening and modernization projects, and on resolution of its Cove Point LNG export facility regulatory status. Trading at a forward PE of 15.9x against a 29.2% operating margin, the stock offers modest valuation relative to its 8.3% ROE, though the combination of regulated utility cash flows and renewable development optionality warrants scrutiny for a fund seeking defensive exposure with incremental growth vectors.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 12, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse and FCF deterioration
    Earnings down 58% YoY while revenue grew 17.6%. Negative FCF of $7.3B signals capital intensity or operational stress outpacing top-line gains.
  • high
    Leverage elevated for sector
    Debt/Equity 1.68 is high for a regulated utility. Combined with negative FCF, debt service capacity and refinancing risk warrant scrutiny.
  • moderate
    ACCE score deterioration
    Score fell 8 points in 90 days (62 to 54). Quality and Momentum scores weakened, signalling recent operational or market headwinds.
  • moderate
    Sequential revenue decline
    QoQ revenue down 10.7% despite YoY growth of 17.6%, suggesting deceleration or seasonal/one-time headwinds in recent quarter.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue jumped 17.6% year over year, driven by data center demand in Virginia and offshore wind expansion.
  • Net margin of 14.0% and recent earnings beat of 8.2% show operational execution is solid.
  • Analyst consensus targets $71.58, implying 16.1% upside from current price of $61.64.
Why it could disappoint
  • Negative free cash flow of 7.3B and negative yield of 13.4% mean the company burns cash and cannot fund operations organically.
  • Debt to equity of 1.68 is already elevated, leaving little room to fund capex without dilution or cutting the 4.3% dividend.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 30, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where D's valuation models land
Price
$65.20
Model fair value
$43.84
Model range
$25.15 to $65.65
Fair value $43.84
Price $65.20
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish31% buy · 16 covering analysts
● Strong buy 3● Buy 2● Hold 11● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.6%
1 month
+6.6%
3 months
-8.3%
6 months
+4.2%
YTD
+11.3%
1 year
+7.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$43.84$46.34$62.84
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$62.84
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$46.34$62.46$61.64
5 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$62.46$47.03$61.31
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$47.03$61.81$60.68
27 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$61.81$63.17$60.68
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$66.00first publication$63.58
20 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$63.17$63.93$63.58
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$63.93$65.02$63.87
8 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$65.02$64.31$65.84

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value50Quality64Momentum63Total57
Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.6x
Forward P/E
17.1x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.93x
EV / Revenue
6.0x
Book value/sh
$31.74
Enterprise value
$107.9B
Profitability
ROE
8.3%
FCF yield
-13.28%
ROIC
3.2%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.68
Dividend yield
4.08%
Beta
0.62

Price

+6.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about D

Answered from Dominion Energy Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 16.5x22.6xhigh 27.5x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 8%8%high 29%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 2.4%4.1%high 4.1%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
D Dominion Energy Inc. Common Stock$65.20$4449% above22.6x8.3%6457
ETR Entergy Corporation Common Stock$108.19$8922% above27.5x10.3%6048
XEL Xcel Energy Inc. Common Stock$78.90--21.0x9.9%6550
ELE.MC Endesa€42.81€3811% above17.0x29.0%8077
AEP American Electric Power Company Inc. Common Stock$130.64$14610% below22.6x10.1%6053
EXC Exelon Corporation Common Stock$44.85$3338% above16.5x9.7%5751
ED Consolidated Edison Inc. Common Stock$116.26$1142% above18.4x9.0%6564

Sector report card

Where D ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 7, 2026
    Dominion Energy Schedules Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings Call
  • PR Newswire•Oct 1, 2026
    NextEra Energy announces participation at the 2026 Wolfe Research Utilities, Midstream & Clean Energy Conference
  • PR Newswire•Sep 29, 2026
    New Utilize Coalition Paper Offers Framework for Measuring Grid Utilization as States Move Toward Implementation
8 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
39 filings
September 2026
Sep 14
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-14
View on SEC →
Sep 3
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-03
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 25
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-25
View on SEC →
36 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR