SBUX

ACCE-researched
Starbucks Corporation Common Stock
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NASDAQ · United States
$94.90-0.97%
Market cap $109.2BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Sep 21, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$94.90+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 3 of 6 models
Now $94.90
$94.90
$19.26$45.65
AvoidBronze54
Price vs fair value
143.3% above
-58.9% to fair value
ACCE score
42
out of 100
Analysts
47% buy
38 covering
P/E
55.4x
forward 31.4x
1-year return
+12.2%
Dividend yield
2.57%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 5 flags
  • high
    Negative equity, extreme leverage
    Debt/Equity of -1.99 signals negative book equity, meaning liabilities massively exceed assets - a structurally fragile balance sheet.
  • high
    Gross margin severely compressed
    Gross margin of only 21.9% is unusually low for a branded restaurant chain, with operating margin just 8.4% and net margin 3.9%.
  • high
    Valuation disconnected from earnings
    Trailing P/E of 80.9x with net margin of 3.9% leaves almost no margin of safety; any earnings miss could trigger sharp de-rating.
  • moderate
    QoQ revenue deceleration
    Sequential quarterly revenue declined 3.9%, contrasting with the 8.8% YoY headline, suggesting recent momentum is stalling.
  • moderate
    Near-zero ROE despite high P/E
    ROE of ~0% reflects the negative equity base; reported earnings quality is questionable given the capital structure distortion.
Reports in 42 days, last quarter beat by 0.3%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

+11.3% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed47% buy · 38 covering analysts
● Strong buy 13● Buy 5● Hold 16● Sell 2● Strong sell 2
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 0.3x55.4xhigh 55.4x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 0%0%high 50%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%2.6%high 3.5%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
MCDMcDonald's Corporation Common Stock$175.4B20.10.0%-22.713.0%-Compare
CPG.LCompass Group$51.1B0.326.9%0.712.3%-Compare
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill Inc. Common Stock$41.9B30.749.6%0.110.0%-Compare
YUMYum! Brands Inc.$37.7B17.40.0%-1.621.1%-Compare
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. Common Shares$33.4B18.334.8%3.663.5%-Compare
QSR.TORestaurant Brands International$33.3B18.334.8%3.662.5%-Compare

Sector report card

Where SBUX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 42 days, last quarter beat by 0.3%.

Press releases mentioning this company

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Recent performance

1 week
-4.2%
1 month
-11.4%
3 months
-6.1%
6 months
+2.4%
YTD
+12.7%
1 year
+12.2%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 17
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-15
Sep 10
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-09
Sep 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-04
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR