MCD

ACCE-researched
McDonald's Corporation Common Stock
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NYSE · United States
$247.88-0.15%
Market cap $175.4BNext earnings 2026-11-04Updated Sep 20, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$247.88+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $247.88
$247.88
$76.38$228.54
Avoid
Price vs fair value
67.1% above
-40.2% to fair value
ACCE score
43
out of 100
Analysts
56% buy
34 covering
P/E
20.1x
forward 17.8x
1-year return
-18.0%
Dividend yield
2.96%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Severely negative equity
    Debt/Equity of -22.71 signals deeply negative book equity, meaning liabilities massively exceed assets - a structurally leveraged balance sheet.
  • high
    Weak momentum score
    ACCE Momentum score is just 25/100, the lowest sub-score, suggesting poor near-term price/trend dynamics despite slight overall score recovery.
  • moderate
    QoQ revenue deceleration
    Quarterly revenue growth of -7.0% QoQ contrasts with +9.4% YoY, flagging a potential sharp recent slowdown in top-line momentum.
  • moderate
    Insider selling, no buying
    Last 10 disclosed transactions show $0 in buys vs $2.78M in sales - no insider conviction on the long side at current prices.
Reports in 43 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

-18.2% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed56% buy · 34 covering analysts
● Strong buy 14● Buy 5● Hold 14● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 0.3x20.1xhigh 55.4x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low 0%0%high 50%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%3.0%high 3.5%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
SBUXStarbucks Corporation Common Stock$109.2B55.40.0%-1.992.6%-Compare
CPG.LCompass Group$51.1B0.326.9%0.712.3%-Compare
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill Inc. Common Stock$41.9B30.749.6%0.110.0%-Compare
YUMYum! Brands Inc.$37.7B17.40.0%-1.621.1%-Compare
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. Common Shares$33.4B18.334.8%3.663.5%-Compare
QSR.TORestaurant Brands International$33.3B18.334.8%3.662.5%-Compare

Sector report card

Where MCD ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 43 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

Press releases mentioning this company

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Recent performance

1 week
-3.7%
1 month
-8.5%
3 months
-8.8%
6 months
-20.5%
YTD
-18.9%
1 year
-18.0%

SEC filings

40 filings
August 2026
Aug 11
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-07
Aug 7
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
Aug 4
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-03
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR