YUM

ACCE-researched
Yum! Brands Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NYSE · United States
$139.33+0.97%
Market cap $37.7BNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Sep 21, 2026
FAIR VALUE · CONSENSUS
$139.33+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 4 of 6 models
Now $139.33
$139.33
$39.04$112.52
Avoid
Price vs fair value
89.6% above
-47.3% to fair value
ACCE score
56
out of 100
Analysts
28% buy
29 covering
P/E
17.4x
forward 20.0x
1-year return
-4.3%
Dividend yield
1.08%
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Overview

⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Negative equity capital structure
    Debt/Equity of -1.62 signals negative book equity, meaning liabilities vastly exceed assets - a structurally leveraged balance sheet with no equity cushion.
  • high
    Revenue growth deceleration
    5-year revenue CAGR is -0.6% despite a 15.2% YoY spike, and QoQ revenue fell -18.1%, suggesting recent growth is unsustainable or lumpy.
  • moderate
    ROE distorted by negative equity
    Reported ROE of 0.0% is meaningless given negative book equity; true leverage-adjusted returns are obscured and comparisons unreliable.
  • moderate
    Insider selling, no buying
    Last 10 disclosed transactions show $0 in buys vs $1.82M in sales - no insider conviction at current price levels.
Reports in 41 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Price

-6.7% · 1Y

Valuation

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Full valuation engine INVESTOR FEATURE

Six independent models converge on one confidence-weighted fair value, with full methodology and editable assumptions.

  • +All six models: DCF, P/E and EV/EBITDA comps, Graham, dividend discount, residual income
  • +Scenario bands, sensitivity tornado, and the 5-year historical valuation range
  • +Editable DCF workbench with saved scenarios

Quality

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Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: conviction breakdown, earnings quality, score history, and backtested returns.

  • +Conviction score breakdown and earnings-quality grade
  • +Growth / value / quality / momentum component scores
  • +90-day score history and score-threshold backtests

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bearish28% buy · 29 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 2● Hold 21● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the institutions: 13F position changes, insider trades, and active 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Recent open-market insider transactions
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 67% of peers
low 0.3x17.4xhigh 30.7x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 0%0%high 54%
Div yieldbetter than 17% of peers
low 0.0%1.1%high 3.5%

Algorithmic peers (6)

TickerCompanyMcapP/EROED/EYieldQuality
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill Inc. Common Stock$41.9B30.749.6%0.110.0%-Compare
QSRRestaurant Brands International Inc. Common Shares$33.4B18.334.8%3.663.5%-Compare
QSR.TORestaurant Brands International$33.3B18.334.8%3.662.5%-Compare
CPG.LCompass Group$51.1B0.326.9%0.712.3%-Compare
DRIDarden Restaurants Inc. Common Stock$23.8B20.053.7%1.072.9%-Compare
YUMCYum China Holdings Inc. Common Stock$13.9B15.116.8%0.012.6%-Compare

Sector report card

Where YUM ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…

News and Record

Reports in 41 days, last quarter beat by 0.0%.

Press releases mentioning this company

Ask anything, Pro feature

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Recent performance

1 week
-4.8%
1 month
-8.9%
3 months
-8.1%
6 months
-12.5%
YTD
-7.9%
1 year
-4.3%

SEC filings

40 filings
September 2026
Sep 1
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-09-01
Sep 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
Sep 1
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR