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RTX
ACCE-researched

RTX Corporation Common Stock (RTX) fair value

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NYSE · United States
$191.01-1.90%
Market cap $262.4BNext earnings 2026-10-20Updated Oct 23, 2026
Our verdict
Trades 82% above our fair value
Price
$191.01
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$105
Model range
$54.99 to $162
Fair value $105
Price $191
5 models fit RTX Corporation Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 5 land within 15% of the average. The price is above every model.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Large premium(i)Silver64
Valued as a mature, profitable company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
ACCE opinionRTX Corporation Common Stock (RTX)
Fair value (5 models)
$105
ACCE price target
$185
Rating
Overvalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CEST; previously $99.78 since 22 Oct 2026, 17:18 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CEST; previously $185 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CEST.
Price used: $191 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, EV/EBITDA comparison, Graham number, and Dividend discount.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
82.1% above
-45.1% to fair value
ACCE score
57
out of 100
Analysts
67% buy
24 covering
P/E
31.2x
forward 24.6x
1-year return
+6.4%
Dividend yield
1.47%

RTX Corporation Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

RTX makes the engines, avionics and missile systems that sit underneath much of the commercial and military aerospace market, through Pratt & Whitney, Collins Aerospace and Raytheon. Its moat is installed-base economics: once a jet is flying on a Pratt GTF or a Collins system, aftermarket parts and service revenue follow for decades, and that is where the margin lives. The near-term driver is the commercial aftermarket recovery as airlines keep older aircraft flying longer while new-engine deliveries catch up, alongside rising munitions and air-defense demand. Revenue growth of 14.5% is well above what most of the sector is printing, and forward earnings at 23.8 times sit meaningfully below the trailing 31.1, which suggests the market is pricing in earnings growth that has not yet appeared in reported results. The 12.7% operating margin and 12.3% return on equity are solid rather than exceptional, and the score of 57 out of 100 says the name fits the defense and aerospace sleeve but does not clear a high bar on its own, so a deeper look should focus on GTF engine reliability and whether the aftermarket ramp converts into margin.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 24, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Price well above model fair value
    The stock trades 82.1% above the model fair value of $104.89, and sits 3.2% above the ACCE price target of $185.00. Position sizing should reflect how much of the price rests on growth assumptions.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without buying
    Insiders sold $12.02M across the last 10 disclosed transactions and bought nothing. Insider ownership is only 0.1%, so the signal is weak but one-directional.
  • moderate
    Score down five points in 90 days
    The ACCE score fell from 65 to 60 over 90 days, with the valuation sub-score at 49 and the lowest of the four components.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026 · figures from 2026-10-22 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 14.5% over the last year, well ahead of its 9.4% average over five years.
  • Free cash flow of $7.4B over twelve months, with the latest quarterly earnings beating expectations by 27.0%.
Why it could disappoint
  • The stock trades 82.1% above the model fair value of $104.89, and four of five valuation models sit in that consensus.
  • At 31.7x trailing earnings and 24.3x forward, it costs more than the sector median forward multiple of 21.7x.
  • Return on invested capital of 5.3% is thin, and the free cash flow yield of 2.9% offers little cushion.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

PRO

Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where RTX's valuation models land
Price
$191.01
Model fair value
$105
Model range
$54.99 to $162
Fair value $105
Price $191
The price is above the whole model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
Graham number
P/E comparison
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish67% buy · 24 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 6● Hold 8● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.5%
1 month
-0.6%
3 months
-10.2%
6 months
+9.6%
YTD
+4.1%
1 year
+6.4%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • ACCE Defense & Aerospace Index 2026: RTX, LMT, GD, NOC Analyzed
    ACCE Defense & Aerospace sits at NAV 1003.29 with RTX, LMT, GD, HII, and NOC as top holdings. Here's what the weights reveal about the sector in 2026.
    2026-09-07
  • Defense Stocks 2026: GD, LHX, NOC, RTX, LMT Sector Outlook
    The ACCE Defense & Aerospace index NAV sits at 993.22 with GD, LHX, NOC, RTX, and LMT each holding 15-17% weight. Here's what the structure signals for 2026.
    2026-06-21
  • Top Defense Stocks 2026: LMT, RTX, NOC, GD, LHX
    The six defense primes behind 94% of our Defense and Aerospace index, including LMT, RTX, NOC and GD, ranked on fundamentals as the FY2026 budget tops $900B.
    2026-05-25

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
24 Oct 2026, 03:20 CESTACCE price target$185$185$191
23 Oct 2026, 11:04 CESTFair value$105$99.78$195
22 Oct 2026, 17:18 CESTFair value$99.78$103$192
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTRatingOvervaluedfirst publication$192
20 Oct 2026, 14:06 CESTFair value$103$123$192
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$185$180$187
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$123$128$186
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$128$127$194
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$127$129$194
10 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$129$131$199

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth68Value45Quality60Momentum54Total57
Valuation
Trailing P/E
31.2x
Forward P/E
24.6x
PEG
2.21
P/B
3.88x
EV / Revenue
3.1x
Book value/sh
$51.21
Enterprise value
$288.0B
Profitability
ROE
12.8%
FCF yield
2.84%
ROIC
5.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.61
Dividend yield
1.47%
Beta
0.31

Member of

ACCE Defense & Aerospace

Price

+6.9% · 1Y

Ask anything about RTX

Answered from RTX Corporation Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 33% of peers
low 21.5x31.2xhigh 68.7x
ROEbetter than 0% of peers
low 13%13%high 174%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%1.5%high 2.4%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
RTX RTX Corporation Common Stock$191.01$10582% above31.2x12.8%6057
GE GE Aerospace Common Stock$293.54$75292% above34.6x50.2%7659
AIR.PA Airbus€194.78€93109% above25.6x23.2%6566
BA Boeing Company (The) Common Stock$187.55--68.7x173.5%4027
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation Common Stock$589.91$45430% above21.5x89.2%5268
RR.L Rolls-Royce Holdings£12.60--31.0x114.5%7154
SAF.PA Safran€302.00€133127% above29.2x27.5%7856

Sector report card

Where RTX ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 21, 2026
    RTX's Collins Aerospace introduces ARINCDirect℠ OpenAPI to connect flight support data across operator systems
  • PR Newswire•Oct 21, 2026
    RTX's Collins Aerospace announces radio altimeter upgrades to meet new FAA standards
  • PR Newswire•Oct 14, 2026
    Nasdaq Sheds 1.65% as Russell 2000 Sinks to RSI 28, Oil Climbs While Gold and Silver Slide
18 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 20
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-10-20
View on SEC →
Oct 20
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR