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RRTL.DE
ACCE-researched

RTL Group S.A. (RRTL.DE) fair value

Communication Services · Broadcasting · XETRA · Germany
€31.40+0.16%
Market cap €4.7BNext earnings 2026-11-17Updated Oct 22, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 14% below our fair value
Price
€31.40
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
€36.62
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a mature, profitable company: P/E comparison.
ACCE opinionRTL Group S.A. (RRTL.DE)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
€30.20
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CEST.
Price used: €31.40 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 CEST.
Models: P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
57
out of 100
P/E
51.5x
forward 10.7x
1-year return
-9.9%
Dividend yield
2.45%

RTL Group S.A. in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

RTL Group runs free-to-air and streaming television across Germany, France, the Benelux countries and Central and Eastern Europe, with RTL Deutschland, M6 in France and Fremantle, the production arm behind formats like Got Talent and Who Wants to Be a Millionaire. The Fremantle content library and the M6 and RTL Deutschland ad inventory give it a broadcast cash engine alongside a growing, exportable catalogue. Revenue grew 3.9%, but the 4.5% operating margin and 2.7% ROE show how thin the earnings base still is, and the trailing P/E of 51.4 versus a forward P/E of 10.7 says the market is pricing a sharp earnings recovery rather than the current print. The case for a closer look rests on whether that recovery shows up in the reported numbers, and on how much of the gap reflects one-off charges rather than structural margin erosion. A 54.7% gross margin suggests the content economics are intact; the open question is operating leverage from here.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 23, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Insider control limits float
    Insiders hold 75.0% of shares and institutions only 4.9%, so a thin free float may make the stock prone to sharp moves on modest volume.
  • moderate
    Earnings growth outpaces revenue
    Earnings rose 48.5% year on year while revenue grew only 3.9%, and the five-year revenue CAGR is 0.0%. Earnings gains may not be repeatable.
  • moderate
    Trailing P/E far above forward
    Trailing P/E is 52.7 against a forward P/E of 11.3 at €31.40, a gap that depends heavily on how one-off items are treated in the earnings base.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 22, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached EUR 410M, a sizeable cash base behind the business.
  • The share count fell 0.5% in the last fiscal year, so each remaining share owns a slightly larger slice of the company.
  • Analysts' mean price target of EUR 34.23 sits 10.2% above the current share price.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue grew 3.9% over the last year but averaged 0.0% a year over five years, so the growth looks recent rather than sustained.
  • Return on equity is only 2.7%, well below the 13.8% return on invested capital, which suggests weak returns to shareholders.
  • The trailing P/E of 52.7x is far above the forward P/E of 11.3x, so earnings expectations depend heavily on a sharp recovery.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 17, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where RRTL.DE's valuation models land
Price
€31.40
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
€36.62
Model
Fair value
Upside
P/E comparison
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Quality

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Analysts

Wall Street consensus

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  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

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Company insiders
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Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Recent performance

1 week
+2.3%
1 month
+1.5%
3 months
-2.5%
6 months
-16.5%
YTD
-8.9%
1 year
-9.9%

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
22 Oct 2026, 16:00 CESTACCE price target€30.20first publication€31.05

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

This security trades in EUR. Exchange-rate movements can increase or reduce the result in your own currency.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth64Value72Quality61Momentum31Total57
Valuation
Trailing P/E
51.5x
Forward P/E
10.7x
PEG
1.06
P/B
1.19x
EV / Revenue
1.0x
Book value/sh
€26.26
Enterprise value
€6.1B
Profitability
ROE
2.7%
FCF yield
8.65%
ROIC
13.8%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.24
Dividend yield
2.45%
Beta
0.72

Price

-9.4% · 1Y

Ask anything about RRTL.DE

Answered from RTL Group S.A. fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 0% of peers
low 10.7x51.5xhigh 51.5x
ROEbetter than 17% of peers
low 2%3%high 14%
Div yieldbetter than 33% of peers
low 1.5%2.5%high 7.7%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
RRTL.DE RTL Group S.A.€31.40--51.5x2.7%6157
NXST Nexstar Media Group Inc. Common Stock$167.34$24431% below31.2x7.4%5063
9404.T Nippon Television Holdings, Inc.¥3102.00--11.9x6.5%6658
9401.T TBS Holdings,Inc.¥6109.00--19.4x3.7%5448
4676.T Fuji Media Holdings, Inc.¥4196.00--42.9x2.4%4257
9412.T SKY Perfect JSAT Corporation¥1865.00--23.2x8.8%7860
ITV.L ITV plc£0.64£132% below10.7x13.5%5656

Sector report card

Where RRTL.DE ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…