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ROIV
ACCE-researched

Roivant Sciences Ltd. Common Shares (ROIV) fair value

Healthcare · Biotechnology · NASDAQ · United States
$36.49-2.56%
Market cap $27.1BNext earnings 2026-11-09Updated Oct 16, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 24% below our fair value
Price
$36.49
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $48.27
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionRoivant Sciences Ltd. Common Shares (ROIV)
Fair value
Not available
ACCE price target
$32.00
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CEST; previously $40.00 since 24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $36.49 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
41
out of 100
Analysts
85% buy
13 covering
P/E
0.0x
forward 0.0x
1-year return
+101.4%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Roivant Sciences Ltd. Common Shares in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Roivant Sciences is a holding company that develops and commercializes drugs through subsidiaries, with its most prominent asset being the Vtama topical treatment for atopic dermatitis, alongside programs in immunology, neurology and rare disease. The investment case rests on the platform model: Roivant sources drug candidates that are often out-licensed or spun into partially owned subsidiaries, so value depends on pipeline readouts and partnering milestones rather than on a single commercial franchise. Revenue fell 33.5% year over year and the operating margin is deeply negative at -25,408%, reflecting how little product revenue exists against a large development and R&D cost base. Against a $25.0B market cap, the valuation therefore rests almost entirely on pipeline optionality, with no meaningful earnings to anchor it. Our composite score of 41/100 and the absence of index membership suggest this name warrants a deeper look only if the pipeline and milestone timing can be underwritten independently of the current financials.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • severe
    Massive negative margins
    Gross margin -9610.9%, operating margin -25408.1%. Company is burning cash at unsustainable rate with no path to profitability visible in current data.
  • severe
    Revenue collapse and FCF burn
    Revenue down 33.5% YoY and 42.8% QoQ. Negative FCF of $758.6M annually. Cash runway is critical concern for biotech with no approved products generating revenue.
  • high
    Insider selling without buying
    Last 10 disclosures show $113.14M in insider sales and $0 in buys. Heavy selling by insiders during period of deteriorating fundamentals signals lack of confidence.
  • high
    Earnings collapse
    Earnings down 96.1% YoY. Combined with negative margins and revenue decline, suggests pipeline failures or major setbacks in clinical development.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Analyst consensus sees 35.7% upside to $48.08, with 92% of analysts rating the stock Buy or Strong Buy.
  • Management reduced share count by 4.3% last fiscal year, offsetting dilution and concentrating value per share.
  • Balance sheet is fortress-like with debt to equity of only 0.02, providing flexibility to fund pipeline development.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue fell 33.5% year over year and has declined 19.1% annually over five years, showing persistent contraction.
  • Free cash flow of negative $759M over the last 12 months means the company burns cash faster than it generates it.
  • Net margin of 0.0% and negative ROE of negative 8.5% show the company is not generating profits or returns on shareholder capital.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 9, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where ROIV's valuation models land
Price
$36.49
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $48.27
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish85% buy · 13 covering analysts
● Strong buy 9● Buy 2● Hold 2● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+8.8%
1 month
-0.9%
3 months
+4.2%
6 months
+33.1%
YTD
+68.2%
1 year
+101.4%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
18 Oct 2026, 01:52 CESTACCE price target$32.00$40.00$33.53
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$40.00first publication$38.22

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth7Value27Quality31Momentum97Total41
Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.0x
Forward P/E
0.0x
PEG
no data
P/B
6.29x
EV / Revenue
3035.2x
Book value/sh
$5.86
Enterprise value
$22.9B
Profitability
ROE
-8.5%
FCF yield
-2.85%
ROIC
-5.3%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.02
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.10

Price

+100.3% · 1Y

Ask anything about ROIV

Answered from Roivant Sciences Ltd. Common Shares fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0x0.0xhigh 37.8x
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -87%-9%high 97%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. Common Shares$36.49----8.5%3141
GMAB Genmab A/S ADS$40.00$5527% below31.3x14.0%7868
GMAB.CO Genmab A/Skr 2654.00kr 354325% below32.7x14.0%7868
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc. Common Stock$227.28$14458% above37.8x96.6%7949
INCY Incyte Corp. Common Stock$116.93$1133% above14.9x30.7%9692
BNTX BioNTech SE American Depositary Share$89.67----9.3%4732
INSM Insmed Incorporated Common Stock$95.06----87.2%3832

Sector report card

Where ROIV ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 23, 2026
    Roivant Announces Topline Results from Proof-of-Concept Study of IMVT-1402 in Cutaneous Lupus Erythematosus
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 8, 2026
    Dr. Gillian Cannon Joins Lindus Therapeutics’ Board as a Non-Executive Director
  • GlobeNewswire•Sep 8, 2026
    Roivant Announces Positive Results from PHocus Study of Mosliciguat in Patients with Pulmonary Hypertension Associated with Interstitial Lung Disease (PH-ILD) and Unveils Ongoing Phase 3 PHrontier Study
11 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR