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INCY
ACCE-researched

Incyte Corp. Common Stock (INCY) fair value

Healthcare · Biotechnology · NASDAQ · United States
$115.71-1.04%
Market cap $23.7BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Close to our fair value
Price
$115.71
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$113
Model range
$75.17 to $158
Fair value $113
Price $116
3 models fit Incyte Corp. Common Stock and they disagree: 1 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Near fair value(i)Silver79
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionIncyte Corp. Common Stock (INCY)
Fair value (3 models)
$113
ACCE price target
$142
Rating
Fairly valued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST; previously $199 since 16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CEST.
Price used: $116 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
2.4% above
-2.3% to fair value
ACCE score
92
out of 100
Analysts
43% buy
28 covering
P/E
14.9x
forward 14.7x
1-year return
+29.6%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Incyte Corp. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
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OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Incyte sells Jakafi, the ruxolitinib franchise for myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera, and has been building a second leg in dermatology with Opzelura (ruxolitinib cream) and its oncology pipeline. Its moat rests on a single molecule with multiple approved indications and a patent-protected commercial base still generating the bulk of revenue. Revenue growth of 37.7% and a 41.9% operating margin show the newer launches now carrying weight alongside the legacy franchise, which matters because the company has long been judged on its Jakafi exclusivity runway. The stock trades at 14.2x trailing and 12.8x forward earnings, a modest multiple for a business compounding this fast with a 30.7% return on equity. The thesis deserves a deeper look if the Opzelura ramp and pipeline readouts keep pace with the growth in the numbers, since the forward multiple leaves little room for a stumble.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 1 flagAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    Last 10 disclosed transactions show $14.67M in sales, zero buys. Suggests insiders may view current valuation as attractive for liquidation.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 37.7% year over year while net margin expanded to 27.7%, showing pricing power and operating leverage.
  • Management returned 4.7% of shares while generating 1.2B in free cash flow on a nearly debt-free balance sheet.
Why it could disappoint
  • Current valuation implies only 5.2% annual cash flow growth over five years, leaving no room for pipeline disappointment.
  • Consensus analyst target of 129.13 dollars offers just 14.5% upside, below historical healthcare sector returns.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where INCY's valuation models land
Price
$115.71
Model fair value
$113
Model range
$75.17 to $158
Fair value $113
Price $116
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed43% buy · 28 covering analysts
● Strong buy 10● Buy 2● Hold 15● Sell 1● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
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Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.3%
1 month
-7.2%
3 months
-1.7%
6 months
+22.3%
YTD
+17.2%
1 year
+29.6%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTFair value$113$199$113
20 Oct 2026, 16:04 CESTRatingFairly valuedfirst publication$113
16 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$199$190$112
11 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$190$97.13$113
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$97.13$98.57$114
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$98.57$101$123
28 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$101$102$124
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$102$104$124
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$142first publication$127
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$104$103$127

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth100Value80Quality96Momentum91Total92
Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.9x
Forward P/E
14.7x
PEG
10.82
P/B
4.05x
EV / Revenue
3.6x
Book value/sh
$31.57
Enterprise value
$21.2B
Profitability
ROE
30.7%
FCF yield
5.72%
ROIC
20.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.01
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
0.74

Member of

ACCE Biotech Catalysts

Price

+26.8% · 1Y

Ask anything about INCY

Answered from Incyte Corp. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 60% of peers
low 0.0x14.9xhigh 37.8x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low -87%31%high 97%
Div yieldbetter than 100% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.0%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
INCY Incyte Corp. Common Stock$115.71$1132% above14.9x30.7%9692
GMAB.CO Genmab A/Skr 2654.00kr 354325% below32.7x14.0%7868
GMAB Genmab A/S ADS$40.00$5527% below31.3x14.0%7868
BNTX BioNTech SE American Depositary Share$89.67----9.3%4732
ROIV Roivant Sciences Ltd. Common Shares$37.45----8.5%3141
INSM Insmed Incorporated Common Stock$95.06----87.2%3832
ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc. Common Stock$227.28$14458% above37.8x96.6%7949

Sector report card

Where INCY ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Oct 13, 2026
    Phanes Therapeutics to participate in Longwood Healthcare Leaders Boston CEO, November 2-3, 2026
  • Business Wire•Oct 8, 2026
    Incyte to Report Third Quarter Financial Results
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 6, 2026
    Knight Therapeutics Announces Regulatory Approval of NIKTIMVO® in Brazil
10 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 19
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-15
View on SEC →
Oct 5
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-01
View on SEC →
Oct 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-30
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR