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NXT
ACCE-researched

Nextpower Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) fair value

Technology · Solar · NASDAQ · United States
$78.89+1.62%
Market cap $12.1BNext earnings 2026-10-28Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 18% below our fair value
Price
$78.89
Model fair valueConfidence: good
$96.42
Model range
$76.94 to $129
Fair value $96.42
Price $78.89
3 models fit Nextpower Inc. Class A Common Stock and they disagree: 0 of 3 land within 15% of the average.
Two or more of our models back this value.
Discount(i)
Valued as a growth company: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionNextpower Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)
Fair value (3 models)
$96.42
ACCE price target
$89.00
Rating
Undervalued
Horizon
12 months
Fair value published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST; previously $144 since 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
ACCE price target published on 26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Rating published on 21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CEST.
Price used: $78.89 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Discounted cash flow, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
Price vs fair value
18.2% below
+22.2% to fair value
ACCE score
54
out of 100
Analysts
90% buy
29 covering
P/E
20.4x
forward 13.9x
1-year return
-12.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Nextpower Inc. Class A Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Nextpower makes solar tracker systems, the motorized racking that tilts utility-scale solar panels to follow the sun, along with the electrical and control hardware that goes with them. At a $13.6B market cap, trading at 22.9x trailing and 15.4x forward earnings, the stock is priced for steady execution rather than a growth story. Revenue is growing 8.2%, and a 27.2% return on equity alongside a 20.9% operating margin against a 23.0% gross margin suggests the business earns well above its gross line, which is the number to pressure-test. A 54/100 score and no index membership tell you the quantitative screen does not find this compelling yet, so the case for a deeper look rests on whether the tracker franchise can hold margins as utility-scale solar buildouts and pricing evolve.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 14, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings growth deceleration
    Earnings YoY +2.9% vs revenue +8.2% signals margin pressure or one-time items. 5y CAGR +26.6% shows historical strength, but recent momentum has stalled significantly.
  • high
    Quality score collapse
    ACCE Q score 81 is strong, but M (moat/competitive position) at 32 is severe weakness. Suggests durable advantage is eroding despite current profitability.
  • moderate
    Insider selling without buying
    Last 10 disclosures show $1.67M in sales and $0.00M in buys. Absence of insider conviction during a period of modest valuation support is a minor negative signal.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • The company generates a 27.2% return on equity and 20.5% return on invested capital, well above cost of capital.
  • NXT beat earnings expectations by 37.5% in the latest quarter while maintaining a fortress balance sheet with 0.02 debt to equity.
Why it could disappoint
  • Revenue growth has decelerated to 8.2% year over year from a 26.6% five-year average, signaling a structural slowdown.
  • The stock price implies only 6.9% perpetual cash flow growth, leaving little room for disappointment or multiple compression.
  • At 22.3x trailing P/E with a 2.4% free cash flow yield, the market is pricing in sustained growth that recent results do not support.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 28, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where NXT's valuation models land
Price
$78.89
Model fair value
$96.42
Model range
$76.94 to $129
Fair value $96.42
Price $78.89
The price sits inside the model range.
Model
Fair value
Upside
Discounted cash flow
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish90% buy · 29 covering analysts
● Strong buy 19● Buy 7● Hold 3● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-1.4%
1 month
-3.6%
3 months
-21.1%
6 months
-35.0%
YTD
-9.4%
1 year
-12.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTRatingUndervaluedfirst publication$79.03
21 Oct 2026, 11:06 CESTFair value$96.42$144$79.03
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$144$141$88.77
1 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$141$142$79.31
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$89.00first publication$80.85
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$142$150$80.47
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$150$142$83.36
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$142$145$82.89
7 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$145$147$84.50
5 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$147$149$83.50

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value59Quality81Momentum25Total54
Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.4x
Forward P/E
13.9x
PEG
7.05
P/B
4.85x
EV / Revenue
3.3x
Book value/sh
$16.86
Enterprise value
$11.9B
Profitability
ROE
27.2%
FCF yield
4.07%
ROIC
20.1%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.02
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.94

Price

-19.7% · 1Y

Ask anything about NXT

Answered from Nextpower Inc. Class A Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 40% of peers
low 0.0x20.4xhigh 90.8x
ROEbetter than 100% of peers
low -58%27%high 27%
Div yieldbetter than 83% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 0.6%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
NXT Nextpower Inc. Class A Common Stock$78.89$9618% below20.4x27.2%8154
FSLR First Solar Inc. Common Stock$171.25$23427% below10.6x18.5%9160
ENPH Enphase Energy Inc. Common Stock$31.35$311% above32.0x13.0%6338
0968.HK Xinyi Solar Holdings LimitedHK$1.82--90.8x-0.3%3630
SEDG SolarEdge Technologies Inc. Common Stock$32.94----58.4%2642
S92.DE SMA Solar Technology AG€50.10----13.9%3640
RUN Sunrun Inc. Common Stock$7.70--5.1x-19.9%3447

Sector report card

Where NXT ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • Business Wire•Oct 12, 2026
    Nextpower to Hold Capital Markets Day on November 16, 2026
  • Business Wire•Oct 7, 2026
    Nextpower to Announce Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 Financial Results on October 28, 2026
  • Business Wire•Sep 1, 2026
    Nextpower Releases Fiscal Year 2026 Sustainability Report, Highlights SBTi Validation and 12% Reduction in Scope 3 Emissions Intensity
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
September 2026
Sep 2
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-09-01
View on SEC →
August 2026
Aug 24
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-21
View on SEC →
Aug 20
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-19
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR