FSLR

ACCE-researched
First Solar Inc. Common Stock
Technology · Solar · NASDAQ · United States
$203.10-4.76%
Market cap $21.8BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Sep 9, 2026
FAIR VALUE · 6-MODEL CONSENSUS
$203.10+0.0%
confidence-weighted across 6 models
Now $203.10
$203.10
$172.05$618.12
Strong BuySilver68
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ACCE thesis

First Solar manufactures thin-film cadmium telluride solar panels through a vertically integrated process that gives them the lowest cost structure in utility-scale solar at $0.20 per watt. The company's CdTe technology performs better in high-temperature environments than silicon panels and requires 40% less energy to produce, creating sustainable competitive moats as utility buyers prioritize both cost and carbon footprint. Management just raised 2025 guidance with bookings extending into 2028, driven by accelerating demand from data centers needing clean baseload power and the Inflation Reduction Act's domestic content requirements. Trading at 7.8x forward earnings while generating 17.4% ROE, FSLR offers rare combination of defensive market share gains and multiple expansion potential as the only major solar manufacturer scaling production in America ahead of potential tariff changes.

Investor warnings · 4 flags
  • high
    Heavy insider selling
    Last 10 transactions show $10.66M in sales, zero buys. Concentrated selling by insiders at current prices is a meaningful red flag.
  • high
    Sharp QoQ revenue drop
    Quarter-over-quarter revenue declined -37.9%, a severe sequential deceleration despite strong YoY growth of +23.6%.
  • moderate
    Elevated short interest
    Short interest at 10.0% of float signals meaningful skepticism among sophisticated investors about near-term prospects.
  • moderate
    Momentum score lagging
    ACCE Momentum sub-score is 61/100, notably below Quality (91) and Growth (88), suggesting price action is weakening relative to fundamentals.
Reports in 49 days, last quarter beat by 0.4%.

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Price

-0.3% · 1Y

Snapshot

Growth35Value81Quality91Momentum54Total65
Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.5x
Forward P/E
8.8x
PEG
0.54
P/B
2.16x
EV / Revenue
3.9x
Book value/sh
$96.03
Enterprise value
$20.8B
Profitability
ROE
18.5%
FCF yield
5.40%
ROIC
12.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.05
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.73
Member ofACCE Clean Energy