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MEC

Mayville Engineering Company Inc. Common Stock (MEC) fair value

Industrials · Metal Fabrication · NYSE · United States
$12.71-1.78%
Market cap $324MNext earnings 2026-11-03Updated Oct 20, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 64% below our fair value
Price
$12.71
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $34.98
Built from weaker models, sales multiples or analyst targets, so treat it as a rough guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a loss-making company: Sales comps and Analyst consensus.
ACCE opinionMayville Engineering Company Inc. Common Stock (MEC)
Fair value (2 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$13.70
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $12.71 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Analyst consensus and Sales comps.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
39
out of 100
Analysts
100% buy
5 covering
1-year return
-22.7%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Mayville Engineering Company Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

Mayville Engineering makes contract metal fabrication and precision components, mostly for industrial OEMs and vehicle and equipment makers, including welded assemblies, stampings and machined parts. Its appeal is the revenue line, with 23.2% growth, but that growth has not reached the bottom line: gross margin is 10.9%, operating margin is 0.3%, and ROE is negative at -6.0%. The forward P/E of 22.1 against a trailing P/E that is not meaningful means the market is pricing a return to earnings that the reported numbers do not yet show. Its 362M market cap and absence from any index keep it under-followed, which is part of why the thin margins deserve scrutiny before the growth does. The score of 41/100 reflects that tension, so the deeper look should start with whether margin recovery is visible in the order book and customer pricing, not in the top line.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 18, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 3 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Earnings collapse despite revenue growth
    Revenue rose 23.2% year over year, but earnings fell 99.4%. Net margin is -2.9% and operating margin only +0.3%, so growth is not reaching the bottom line.
  • moderate
    Score slipping over 90 days
    The ACCE score fell from 46 to 41 over 90 days, with quality at 31 and momentum at 32, the two weakest components.
  • moderate
    Insider selling with no buying
    Insiders sold $2.62M across the last 10 disclosed transactions and bought nothing. Short interest sits at 11.8% of float.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 20, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Revenue grew 23.2% year over year, well above its 8.9% average annual pace over the past five years.
  • Free cash flow over the last twelve months reached $27M, and the stock yields 7.6% on that cash generation.
Why it could disappoint
  • Net margin is still negative at -2.9%, and return on equity of -6.0% shows shareholders are not yet earning a return.
  • Return on invested capital is -2.5%, meaning new revenue growth has not translated into profit from the capital deployed.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Nov 3, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Ask ACCE

Valuation

INVESTOR
Where MEC's valuation models land
Price
$12.71
Model fair valueConfidence: low
about $34.98
Model
Fair value
Upside
Analyst consensus
Sales comps
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See what each model says, the assumptions behind it, the bad, normal and good cases, and why the fair value changed.

Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Bullish100% buy · 5 covering analysts
● Strong buy 5● Buy 0● Hold 0● Sell 0● Strong sell 0
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
-8.6%
1 month
-27.2%
3 months
-58.0%
6 months
-42.1%
YTD
-32.1%
1 year
-22.7%

SEC filings

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
15 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$13.70first publication$14.76
7 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.35$8.56$16.39
4 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.56$8.33$16.44
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.33$8.66$16.85
24 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.66$8.58$17.34
19 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.58$8.33$17.44
16 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.33$8.58$18.09
14 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.58$8.79$19.10
3 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.79$8.96$19.20
26 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$8.96$9.07$21.16

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth52Value54Quality31Momentum17Total39
Valuation
Trailing P/E
no data
Forward P/E
12.5x
PEG
no data
P/B
1.37x
EV / Revenue
1.0x
Book value/sh
$12.77
Enterprise value
$598M
Profitability
ROE
-6.0%
FCF yield
8.30%
ROIC
-2.5%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
0.11
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta
1.44

Price

-23.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about MEC

Answered from Mayville Engineering Company Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
ROEbetter than 33% of peers
low -91%-6%high 19%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 0.0%0.0%high 1.8%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
MEC Mayville Engineering Company Inc. Common Stock$12.71----6.0%3139
TG Tredegar Corporation Common Stock$7.31$1133% below7.8x15.5%5368
IIIN Insteel Industries Inc. Common Stock$27.77$3826% below18.4x10.0%4855
AP Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation Common Stock$7.85----90.9%2239
TROAX.ST Troax Group AB (publ)kr 141.40kr 59141% above321.4x1.5%4248
SIFG.AS Sif Holding N.V.€2.80----15.6%2652
PROF-B.ST ProfilGruppen AB (publ)kr 112.50--5.6x19.4%5865

Sector report card

Where MEC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • GlobeNewswire•Oct 7, 2026
    Sheet Metal Fabrication Services Market Forecasts Growth from $87.3B (2025) to $136.5B by 2035, Profiling Gestamp, Martinrea International, Mayville Engineering, Xometry & 18 Other Key Players
  • Business Wire•Oct 1, 2026
    Mayville Engineering Company Announces Strategic Footprint Expansion in the Southeastern U.S.
  • Business Wire•Aug 4, 2026
    Mayville Engineering Company Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results
4 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
37 filings of 38
August 2026
Aug 7
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-08-06
View on SEC →
Aug 5
10-QQuarterly reportPeriod 2026-06-30
View on SEC →
Aug 4
8-KCurrent reportPeriod 2026-08-04
View on SEC →
34 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR